Back from vacation
Just in case you were wondering, I didn't get hit by a bus. I just took a few days of vacation (vacation -- what's that?) for the holidays ... trading session, with the long bond futures off by more than three points. The bonds are trading heavy [more...]
Date: 2009-01-02 15:40:00
Blog posts
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Opening Comments October 22 2008
Prices of Treasury coupon securities surged in overnight trading as pandemic equity market weakness drove investors to the safety of US Government ... of nearly 6 percent. Futures market trading indicates that US markets will open sharply lower. Against ... on the Long Bond dropped 9 basis points to 4.13 percent. The 2 year/10 year spread has widened [more...]
Date: 2008-10-22 10:58:26
Senate Republicans Block Windfall Profits Tax on Big Oil Companies
... work on separate legislation to increase oversight of trading by the Commodity Futures Trading [more...]
Date: 2008-06-10 19:50:46
Futures Day Trading Continues to Roll
To give you an idea of just how straightforward daytrading the futures is, ... Futures. The video does a step by step walk-through of all the trades this past week, Monday through Friday. Nothing left out, nothing skipped - all trades regardless of outcome . What you’ll want [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 00:41:14
Technical Analysis
by Walter Fox A technique used to forecast the movement of stock prices based on past market data is called technical analysis ... the future of the markets and trading against those predictions. Fundamental Analysis does the same ... such as this, serve as graphic indicators by which an analyst will make trading decisions. Critics argue [more...]
Date: 2009-01-03 19:10:02
Opening Comments January 5 2009
Prices of Treasury coupon securities slumped in overseas trading as the retreat which began last week has turned into a mini rout in bond prices ... modest gains. Futures market trading suggests that US indices will open with modest declines ... on the Long Bond has climbed 6 basis points to 2.85 percent. The 2year/10 year spread has widened to 158 [more...]
Date: 2009-01-05 12:36:51
The Real Election Trading
For the last few days traders have been talking about whether the equity market is “discounting” a win by Senator Barack Obama (D ... Futures Trading Commission, according to Tom Snee, spokesman for the IEM. (Intrade is an unregulated ... near as liquid as even the more thinly-traded commodities, that doesn’t mean there isn’ [more...]
Date: 2008-11-04 17:32:29
The Real Election Trading
For the last few days traders have been talking about whether the equity market is “discounting” a win by Senator Barack Obama (D ... Futures Trading Commission, according to Tom Snee, spokesman for the IEM. (Intrade is an unregulated ... near as liquid as even the more thinly-traded commodities, that doesn’t mean there isn’ [more...]
Date: 2008-11-04 20:25:00
News will not make you money
Just saw this on Bloomberg this evening - http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=a1Ab6lUay5TE&refer=newsJan. 5 (Bloomberg) -- The steepest plunge in crude prices on record may be setting up oil investors for a rally this year, if history is any guide. The so-called forward curve of futures contracts traded on the New [more...]
Date: 2009-01-05 13:37:00
Some Opening Comments September 30 2008
Prices of Treasury coupon securities are retracing a portion of the out sized gains attained yesterday as some participants expect that some form of rescue package will pass later this week. Equity prices are mixed in Europe and futures market trading indicates the US equity markets will open with a strong bounce after the historic fall [more...]
Date: 2008-09-30 11:33:20
Opening Comments September 18 2008
Prices of Treasury coupon securities have tumbled in overseas trading as the concerted efforts of central banks around the globe to reduce tensions ... to 1.5 percent. Futures market trading indicates that US stocks will open about 1 percent higher. Asian ... percent. The 2year/10 year spread has narrowed by 7 basis points to 169 basis points. The [more...]
Date: 2008-09-18 11:27:03
Personal Finance Blog Tickers
Sometimes, in talking to people, I refer to Blueprint for Financial Prosperity as BFP ... , financial and reputational issues that shape their futures.” It’s traded on the NYSE and is down ... and development of gold and silver deposits in Mexico and is traded on the New York Stock Exchange. It’ [more...]
Date: 2008-12-10 20:54:12
Get Ready For $2 Gas as Fuel Prices Continue to Rise
The national average price for a gallon of gasoline posted their seventh consecutive gain on Tuesday, ... to data from the Department of Energy. Futures traders were also worried about potential fallout ... gasoline prices generally lag beind oil futures which traded above $50 a barrel today, up from below $32 [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 18:18:07
Lottery System Development
I've been working on a lottery system based on intuition rather than the more common strategy of analaysing patterns or distributions in historical ... out by 2,3,4,...49 (use the modulus operator when the number goes above 49).From the world of trading ... can be used to forecast future price levels in many products, ranging from currencies to commodities [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 11:34:00
Some Opening Comments December 15 2008
Prices of Treasury coupon securities have posted modest losses in overseas trading as investors scout the landscape for signs of additional economic ... . Trading in the futures market indicates that the US markets will open with modest gains. The Madoff ... percent. The 2 year /10 year spread narrowed a basis point to 180 basis points. Equity markets [more...]
Date: 2008-12-15 12:24:18
Don't Shoot The Price Messenger, aka Speculator
The futures market may be a convenient scapegoat, but it's simply a price discovery mechanism ... and demand, as well as the rate of inflation. The political theory is that such futures trading ... fundamentals. Thus, $4 gas. But there's no inherent reason to "bet" that commodities will go up rather than [more...]
Date: 2008-06-24 15:39:02
Is it Easy to Make Money From the Forex Capital Markets?
You probably won’t find many investors claiming that any investment opportunity is easy, ... that are structuring the other sorts of investments out there, be it equity, futures and stocks trading ... , opening up an account and start building your portfolio right away. Pairing a 24 hour investment [more...]
Date: 2009-01-02 05:30:43
What if it's all a Ponzi scheme -- more
Earlier, I grew depressed thinking that the reason all that bailout money wasn't helping right the economy was that the whole thing was a vast Ponzi ... this one is smaller.The Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission brought civil charges against a Pennsylvania man accused of running a $50 million Ponzi scheme [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 18:47:00
Oil, Another 'Trouble in Middle East' Bounce
A bounce to $50 and even $55 isn't excessive. Prices are now above the declining 20 day EMA (blue line) and should gravitate to the 50 day EMA ( ... for a rally this year, if history is any guide.The so-called forward curve of futures contracts traded ... cut, raised the price of all the crude types it exports to the U.S.”Another way to play commodities [more...]
Date: 2009-01-05 13:30:00
Bombay Stock Exchange gets SEBI nod for currency derivatives
Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) has received “in-principle approval” from market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) ... Committee on Exchange Traded Currency Futures, released by the Reserve Bank of India and SEBI May 29 ... currency futures contracts facilitate easy access, increased transparency, efficient price discovery [more...]
Date: 2008-08-29 07:29:46
Financial Spreads: Oil Slick, Bonds Stick And Pounding Sterling
SPREAD Watch: Anorak’s look at the financial spread markets BUY much last month? The Office For National Statistics ( ... on this year’s highs. Meanwhile, US regulators at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission allege ... s civil complaint, traders said they would “hammer” [more...]
Date: 2008-07-25 09:34:38
U.S. Economy ‘Misplaces’ 2.6 Million Jobs in 2008
U.S. Economy ‘Misplaces’ 2.6 Million Jobs in 2008 Filed under: Street Smarts — SmallCapNetwork Editor @ 7: ... of the terrible situation). That said, I have to confess I’m a little shocked at the initial reaction… futures ... you need that trading is more about expectations and perception than it is about actual results [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 14:28:57
Closing Down Early in 2008
December is usually a slow month in the markets, and volume tends to dry up around the middle of the month as investors, ... as one of the worst years in history for the major equity averages. Trading volume in futures, stocks and options has declined as investors have reduced risk after a trying year that left much [more...]
Date: 2008-12-05 18:27:07
Reassessing Roubini's Predictions
Unfortunately for Roubini, there is no Nobel Prize in Economic for being the best predictor of global financial markets ... , Nouriel predicted the potential shutdown of financial markets. A day later U.S. stock futures suspended trading after declines of more than 6% at opening tripped the circuit breakers. Nonetheless [more...]
Date: 2008-11-03 08:05:00
SIPC: Lehman To Be Liquidated
How did this little gem slip by unnoticed? Tomorrow at 4PM, Lehman is to be liquidated ... of the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Federal Reserve, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission ... in connection with a proposed sale of the business of the broker-dealer to Barclays Capital Inc. A hearing [more...]
Date: 2008-09-19 05:00:00
Deal Or No Deal...The Buck Is A Bust
Oil Curve Steeper Than '99 Shows Possible Gain in '09Jan. 5 (Bloomberg) -- The steepest plunge in crude prices on record may be setting up oil investors for a rally this year, if history is any guide.The so-called forward curve of futures contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange suggests oil will rise 28 percent to $60 [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 01:28:00
Trend Indicator
Why are some traders more successful than others? There are probably as many answers as there are traders out there ... as options and futures are concerned. In options trading your biggest enemy by far is time ... on the long run.The same rule applies to any short-term oriented trader. The Global Futures Trend Index [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 23:04:00
Financials Got You Down? CME Pitches Credit-Default Swaps the Safer Way
The market for credit-default swaps is huge–$55 trillion–but was largely unknown to most of the populace until the downfall of Bear Stearns and the ... Mercantile Exchange that handles the bulk of U.S. futures trading. CME is trying to capitalize on the chaos in the market by grabbing more trading from broker-dealers like Goldman Sachs Group, Morgan [more...]
Date: 2008-10-09 16:35:40
Congrats to Mary Schapiro, SEC Chair Nominee
US President-elect Barack Obama announced his intention to nominate Mary Schapiro as Chair of the Securities and Exchange ... Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Before that, Schapiro served for six years as a Commissioner ... Commission. We at GW Law School, from which Ms. Schaprio graduated in 1980, are delighted. We wish [more...]
Date: 2008-12-19 17:16:36
Closing Enron Loophole Would Drop Oil Prices 25% - 50% Overnight
The way Republicans tell it, the minute we start drilling off the coasts of California, Florida and elsewhere, the price of gas will go down ... for the Commodities Future Trading Commission (CFTC), the government board that oversees commodities markets: “Yes ... follows.) The Enron Loophole is the nickname for a provision written into the [more...]
Date: 2008-06-22 18:55:04
Weekend Open Discussion
Anecdote for history buffs. Today marks the 79th anniversary of the official start of the Crash of ‘29 ... which defined the Great Crash. Strap in, it is going to be a wild ride. Dow and S&P futures are currently trading “limit down”, the maximum daily amount permitted. The Nikkei fell over 800 points [more...]
Date: 2008-10-24 10:20:32
How Main Street Will Quickly Feel The Fallout From Wall Street
In case you didn't think you'd feel the effects of the Wall Street meltdown in the short-term, you would be wrong: ... as investors dashed into commodities on concerns about the government’s plan to bail out the financial system. After a wild last hour of trading, crude oil futures surged as high as $130 a barrel before [more...]
Date: 2008-09-22 23:48:06
Oil on troubled waters
Stratfor, long unable to account for the dizzying heights to which oil prices, have soared, can more easily explain its recent collapse ... and futures trading, which they said had created artificial demand. That may well have been true [more...]
Date: 2008-12-16 03:30:20
Fxworking - Fxworking.com
I'm not the admin. QUOTEFXworking is a private international membership club, it is not a HYIP-game or HYIP-pyramid ... team, as well as, by highly experienced traders involved in real estate, commodities, forex, futures ... . Interest payouts are done on trading days, and will be made directly to your LR account. Payments [more...]
Date: 2008-11-19 03:06:22
Don't Blame the Speculators; Without Futures Markets, Oil Might Be At $200 Instead of $135
Excerpts below from the Fortune Magazine article "Don't Blame the Oil Speculators: ... former U.S. Commodities Futures Trade Commission chief economist Gerald Gay. "No, they're clueless ... Misunderstanding of How Futures Markets Work": Here's a suggestion: The next time a Congressional committee [more...]
Date: 2008-06-28 02:03:05
Some Opening Comments October 14 2008
Prices of Treasury coupon securities have plummeted as the debt market responds to the actions of governments and regulators around the globe to ... this morning. European markets have gained about 5 percent thus far and futures market trading indicates ... on the 30 year bond has also jumped 14 basis points to 4.27 percent.The 2 year/10 year spread [more...]
Date: 2008-10-14 11:51:06
Technical Picture - Follow Through
The U.S. markets opened with a gap up following President Elect Obama's comments on Meet the Press regarding big stimulus to get the economy moving ... % drop in the $USD sparked buying interest in commodities . Oil rose 8% to $44.05 per barrel ... guidance TXN, BRCM, and ALTR. Futures trading just modestly lower. [more...]
Date: 2008-12-09 02:06:00
Friday's Commentary & When to Chase a Trade
Updated late Tuesday and Friday nights Friday’s Close for Jan 9th, 2008 Written by: Mike Coval It was not much different than we expected, ... out of work kept the price of Crude futures flat and trading at $40.70 a barrel. Track the price of crude with the Oil ETF, USO. Mega player Chevron, CVX, fell $1.42 after issuing a profit warning [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 00:43:26
Trading Screens and Trading Decisions: Finding What Works for You
A reader recently asked me to show a composite picture of my trading screens to illustrate what I watch when I'm trading ... index futures). I also have a second computer (laptop) running off a separate online connection [more...]
Date: 2008-12-12 12:36:00
From Clueless Cox to Something Else Schapiro: Meet the Future SEC Chairman
Christopher Cox may in retrospect look like an Aristotelian fountain of wisdom, ... of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and as a Commissioner on the Securities and Exchange Commission. She is currently a director of Kraft Foods Inc. Her stint at the CFTC during the Clinton [more...]
Date: 2008-12-18 02:47:58
Tracking Jim Simons - Renaissance Technologies
Renaissance Technologies is likely the best performing hedge fund of all time ... , which trades everything from corn futures to government bonds, has returned nearly 40% a year NET ... in what they are doing. From the Bloomberg article: What can he say about Medallion's trading strategy? ``Not much [more...]
Date: 2008-12-27 21:14:00
Collect Lots Of Information For Having Effective Futures Trading
Information plays very important role, when you want to get a stronger position in the market ... like internet. On internet there are lots of websites that are dealing in futures brokers firms and guiding ... . If you haven’t much information on futures contract then don’t think that you can get profits [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 03:43:44
The Waiting Game
by Larry LevinMy goodness, will the markets ever open for business? The momentum is negligent; it's as if there are only 2 traders in the S&P futures pits trading ... . But that's just the official number. This morning traders in New York started to spread their "whisper [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 01:57:00
Futures Trading levels and Economic reports for Jan 6th
*To be removed, please reply with remove daytrading in subject line Dear Trader, Market has rallied the last few sessions, mostly on thin volume, yet the shorter term upward bias is still in tact as long as we hold above 900 level. need to see the SP breaks and holds above 938 in order to see another leg up, [more...]
Date: 2009-01-05 21:02:00
Middle East Tension Pushes Crude Near $50
Crude oil futures traded higher on Monday, even hitting a three-week high above $49 at one point during trading on the New York Mercantile ... now that the conflict has entered its tenth day. Heavy clashes were reportedly taking place between Israel Defense [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 15:07:36
NY Times: Lehman Filing For Bankruptcy (Update: Gross Sees "Tsunami")
Hat tip readers dd and viv on this update from the New York Times' Dealbook: Lehman will seek to place its parent company, Lehman Brothers Holdings, ... support. Update 6:55 PM Reader Jim Bianco e-mailed this observation on the futures trading: It’ ... the financial backstop would be. Lehman’s broker-deal subsidiaries would not be a part of the [more...]
Date: 2008-09-14 22:53:26
Interest Rate Risk Exposure
Interest rate exposure refers to the interest rate differential between the two countries' currencies in a foreign exchange contract ... conditions:* 2 pips spread on six currency pairs.* Providing online trading services without maintenance ... or futures contract. As a side note, arbitragers are investors that take advantage when interest [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 19:58:00
Auto Announcement Beckons, While Oil Falters
Expectations for a bit of support for the automakers through a $17 billion loan package — to be announced at 9 a.m. ET by President Bush — aren’t doing much for futures today. With this session marking options ... that trading should drastically be curtailed as the end of the year approaches. Futures project a slightly [more...]
Date: 2008-12-19 13:48:54
Auto Announcement Beckons, While Oil Falters
Expectations for a bit of support for the automakers through a $17 billion loan package — to be announced at 9 a.m. ET by President Bush — aren’t doing much for futures today. With this session marking options ... that trading should drastically be curtailed as the end of the year approaches. Futures project a slightly [more...]
Date: 2008-12-19 14:08:38
UPDATE 2-China to boost oil stockpiling amid price slump
China will take advantage of falling oil prices to boost imports and build up its fledgling oil reserves against supply shocks, ... . Oil prices are on track for a near 60 percent drop this year, the biggest annual fall since futures began trading 25 years ago, and are down more than $108 a barrel from its record-peak in July . China [more...]
Date: 2008-12-29 06:16:13
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