Speculation and Commodity Prices

Ah, good - I've been meaning to do something like this myself, but never got around to it ... is that commodities that feature no futures markets have experienced as much volatility as those that have them ... is present in commodities markets: Commodity Prices, Again: Are Speculators to Blame, by Jeff Frankel [more...]

Date: 2008-07-25 18:07:00

Blog posts (260) | Videos (310)
 

Managed Futures Funds Gain in Popularity and Performance

Excellent article from MarketWatch.  Of course to us it’s just preaching to the choir ... of negative performance. Managed Futures funds (also referred to as Commodity Trading Advisors or CTAs ... , commodity futures and currency markets. Managers who have done well to- date this quarter have generally [more...]

Date: 2008-12-29 23:09:12

Oil Squeeze? Blame Yourself

The Journal’s Russell Gold reports: When it comes to the price of crude oil and gasoline, who is in the driver’s seat? One common answer is no one ... into the commodity futures market. All of this plays a role: the availability of supply, financial market interest in commodities, and don’t forget the strength of the U.S. dollar (the global [more...]

Date: 2008-09-03 18:43:00

Scott Irwin takes down Michael Masters

Econbrowser is pleased to host another contribution from Scott Irwin, who holds the Laurence J ... the charge that speculative buying by index funds in commodity futures and over-the- counter (OTC ... misunderstanding of how commodity futures and related derivatives markets actually work. It is important [more...]

Date: 2008-09-17 20:55:26

Impending rally in the commodities market?

Impending rally in the commodities market? November 26th, ... that is rushing into the markets. Other commodities such as silver are now on the radar with a rapidly expanding money supply and a heavily deflated price per ounce. Read more… Futures [more...]

Date: 2008-11-26 23:20:42

International Forecaster December 2008 (#6) - Gold, Silver, Economy + More

By: Bob Chapman Sunday, 21 December 2008 US MARKETS When, in the wake of the Bear Stearns collapse, ... derivatives market with the passage of the Commodity Futures Modernization Act, an opaque market, which ... destroying it. They were drawing out huge salaries, stock options, bonuses, golden parachutes, fees [more...]

Date: 2008-12-21 17:31:27

Who let the oil market be manipulated?

For anyone who believes that speculation by energy traders explains at least a portion of the run-up in oil prices, the announcement that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating oil market ... some commodity trading exchanges to operate without oversight while others must report what's going [more...]

Date: 2008-05-30 15:51:47

SPECULATORS ARE NOT DRIVING UP OIL PRICES, REPORT SAYS

As Congress debates how to curtail the role of speculators and rein in rising oil prices, ... report by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission with help from six other agencies, including ... offer investors a future return linked to commodity markets, were roughly balanced between purchases [more...]

Date: 2008-07-25 13:21:56

Fresh Gourmet Coffee - Flavour You Can Count On

There is something special about coffee ... in the world? Coffee has become such an important commodity that it even has its own futures market among the ’soft commodities’. You can buy and sell coffee contracts and your results will be according [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 03:25:56

Learn About Commodity Trading

Have you ever heard investors mention speculating in futures of the commodity market and wondered what it they are talking about? While most of us are familiar with investing in stocks, commodities can be an interesting way to have your money make money for you. But first, you might ask what is a commodity? commodities [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 17:43:07

DC’s Cosa Nostra

Judah Freed of examiner.com writes~ “Obama last week tapped Mary Schapiro to lead the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ... Gensler to lead the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Instability in the commodities markets ... financial advisor to Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign, Gensler has not yet shown to critics [more...]

Date: 2008-12-24 06:54:25

CNBC On Speculators Gone Wild: ‘So What?’

Yesterday, the Center for American Progress Action Fund’s Dan Weiss stood up for working American families as CNBC host Trish Regan and two other ... Futures Trading Commission released a report recommending specific improvements to commodities markets ... months from January to May traders poured $60 billion into the commodities market and basically per [more...]

Date: 2008-09-11 23:30:34

MCX gets nod to begin stock exchange operations

After launching carbon trading and currency futures, the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) ... , has spot and futures trading in 60 commodities with a focus on energy basket and metals. It launched ... Nations mandate. This can be sold either immediately or through a futures market, just like any other [more...]

Date: 2008-10-31 06:17:49

Obama goes after McCain, oil speculation

by John McCormick Sen. Barack Obama's campaign went on the offensive again today on energy related matters, charging that a co-chairman for Sen ... said the provision in law exempts some energy traders from regulation and thus prevents the Commodity Futures Trading Commission from fully overseeing the oil futures market and investigating cases [more...]

Date: 2008-06-22 18:55:46

Oil Speculators. WP: Regulators had long classified a private Swiss energy conglomerate called Vitol as a trader that primarily helped industrial firms that needed oil to run their businesses. But when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission ... of fuel. Even more surprising to the commodities markets was the massive size of Vitol's portfolio [more...]

Date: 2008-08-21 13:45:50

Nikkei to Cash, Gold Bearish

Sheesh. Hope you survived the week in one piece! We're just 100 points on the S&P 500 from the Oct. 2002 low of 777. Amazing ... by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (See my "How It Works" page for details.) Trading new signals ... , derivatives, Black Swans, market timing, trading system development, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading [more...]

Date: 2008-10-24 20:33:00

No more ban on commodity futures: Minister

The Indian government will not hereafter impose any ban on futures trading in commodities as it has been proved that futures market has nothing to do with inflation in the country Minister of State [more...]

Date: 2008-12-23 18:52:51

The Need to Fundamentally Rethink Food

A sustainable global food system is absolutely essential to a healthy future for humans and the environment, ... a speech he made as the president-elect of charity Garden Organic, which will shape future food ... commodity markets.” Water scarcity: “One of the key things that I have been pushing [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 11:30:26

Will Mary Schapiro Lead a Merger of the SEC and CFTC?

With startling revelations (yesterday and today) ... , with the CFTC, created in 1974 to regulate commodities futures and options markets. Schapiro’s service ... might be her stint as the chair of the Commodities Futures Trading Commission during the Clinton [more...]

Date: 2008-12-18 14:15:49

Don't count on the holiday/new year rally in the stock market or Obama rescue package? So, what next?

Commodity prices are falling and so as the stocks markets of Russia and Brazil which are commodity producers, hence its time for commodity consuming stock markets of India/China to move up, so they are rising ... +ve views in long-term that BRIC economies especially India/China offer great future opportunities [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 19:39:47

Stronger Mortgage Data Props up Pound vs Dollar

Thursday, January 1, 2009 Sterling steadied versus the dollar on Monday as news of growing mortgage approvals eased concerns about a potentially ... in the week to February 19 according to the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading ... in the market with 0-1 pips in 10 pairs, no commissions, no swaps and instant account Activation.2. Scandinavian [more...]

Date: 2009-01-02 03:11:00

Closing Enron Loophole Would Drop Oil Prices 25% - 50% Overnight

The way Republicans tell it, the minute we start drilling off the coasts of California, Florida and elsewhere, the price of gas will go down ... for the Commodities Future Trading Commission (CFTC), the government board that oversees commodities markets: “Yes ... follows.) The Enron Loophole is the nickname for a provision written into the [more...]

Date: 2008-06-22 18:55:04

While Greenspan Slept

This Bloomberg special report may have slipped by unnoticed last week during all of the market mayhem ... of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, to study regulating over-the-counter derivatives. In 2000, Congress ... on a company's debt, would grow to $62 trillion from $631 billion in 2001. While the swaps spread risk [more...]

Date: 2008-11-03 11:00:00

Veteran regulator Mary Schapiro tapped to lead SEC - MarketWatch

Obama picks Mary Schapiro for SEC chief -Former Goldman Sachs official Gensler to head CFTC By Ronald D. Orol, MarketWatch Last update: 2:27 p.m ... and former Treasury undersecretary Gary Gensler to run the Commodities Futures Trading Commission, which regulates trading in the commodities markets. 'Financial regulatory reform will be a top priority [more...]

Date: 2008-12-18 21:04:20

Flawed system

Stories by HILARY CHIEW Activists are calling for a re-examination of the capitalist system to overcome the social and economic ills of the world ... are traded in the futures markets where investors do not buy or sell a physical commodity like rice or crude ... about 60% of the wheat traded on the global commodity markets. So lucrative is this business [more...]

Date: 2008-11-10 23:15:00

Safe Harbor for Prediction Markets?

As everyone who has read The Wisdom of the Crowds knows, prediction markets are excellent predictors of future events like elections ... Professor John McGinnis reports, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is recognizing the benefits ... , exempting them from cumbersome financial trading laws. As McGinnis argues, creating such an exception would [more...]

Date: 2008-07-11 19:29:49

Closing Enron Loophole Would Drop Oil Prices 25% - 50% Overnight

Guest blogged by Jon Ponder, Pensito Review. Drilling off the coast of California, ... by Michael Greenberger, the former director of Trading & Markets for the Commodities Future Trading ... follows.) The Enron Loophole is the nickname for a provision written into the Commodity Futures [more...]

Date: 2008-06-22 19:42:52

McCain Aide Created 'Enron Loophole'

Editor's Note: On Wednesday evening, Keith Olbermann, the host of MSNBC's "Countdown," reported the findings of a "Countdown investigation" ... its proposed regulation of energy futures trading, a market that was famously abused when Enron ... into the Commodities Futures Modernization Act that exempted from regulation energy trading on electronic [more...]

Date: 2008-06-19 14:00:00

The Economy - Nowhere To Go But Up

As we slowly shed the rotting skin of a dismal year a resolute optimism prevails and although hurdles lie ahead, we have nowhere to go but up ...   looking backward. Commodities were here before the stock market, and they’ll be here after. Investments in commodities and managed futures, according to Marketwatch, Bloomberg and Barclays, are predicted [more...]

Date: 2009-01-02 21:34:51

Obama Hates Oil Speculators, Hearts Ethanol

Bloomberg reports that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama is proposing new rules to increase government interven... err... oversight in energy markets. He wants to "require the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to regulate trading in energy futures contracts and direct the commission to investigate ways [more...]

Date: 2008-06-23 16:04:51

Every crisis needs a culprit

Michael Masters was quite the star on Capitol Hill today as he testified before the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, ... . While there is a case to be made for commodities futures markets not being intended and perhaps [more...]

Date: 2008-06-23 21:18:00

Baruch College’s Schwartz Institute Featured in Higher Education Magazine Change-’Improving Communication is Everyone’s Responsibility’ by Fara Warner

In 2003, Terrence Martell, a finance professor at the City University of New York’s Baruch College, encountered a classroom of 80 seniors who could navigate the complex intricacies of the futures markets and commodities trading. But when he asked them to write a report explaining to a commodity [more...]

Date: 2008-12-18 17:12:05

Stock Market Dictionary - D

DFifth letter of a NASDAQ stock symbol specifying that it is a new issue, such as the result of a reverse split ... commodity, futures, and options markets are allowed to rise or fall in a day. Exchanges usually impose ... in the context of stocks to refer to the date trading begins on a new stock issued to the public.Date [more...]

Date: 2009-01-02 16:33:00

Speculators not to blame

In certain quarters people keep arguing that the surging oil and food prices are caused by speculative international investments in these commodities. People who understand how the market is working have always maintained that the principle effect of commodity futures is beneficial because they smooth extreme swings of prices [more...]

Date: 2008-07-11 05:22:11

Daily Report for Mon, Oct 27, 2008

The crisis in global equity, commodity and currency markets worsened overnight ... ) as an indicator. US equity futures have come off their earlier lows. ADDENDUM Links & Charts ... is sinking as are prices on the European bourses; the US equity markets may open with futures locked [more...]

Date: 2008-10-27 10:13:05

Aviation Takes Its Woes to Capitol Hill

Times are tough in Airline Land, and the industry is throwing everything it has into digging itself out of the mess it's in -- ... and often foreign commodities futures markets" and proposes a five-point solution that's nothing [more...]

Date: 2008-07-24 14:55:39

Links 6/27/08

The 'value' of protecting whales BBC Researchers study hidden homicide trend PhysOrg Boston Suburb's `Taj Mahal' Brings Ban on Luxury High ... . This is a very good post for those interested in oil and commodities futures markets generally. Antidote du [more...]

Date: 2008-06-27 04:48:51

Don't Blame the Speculators; Without Futures Markets, Oil Might Be At $200 Instead of $135

Excerpts below from the Fortune Magazine article "Don't Blame the Oil Speculators: ... former U.S. Commodities Futures Trade Commission chief economist Gerald Gay. "No, they're clueless ... Misunderstanding of How Futures Markets Work": Here's a suggestion: The next time a Congressional committee [more...]

Date: 2008-06-28 02:03:05

Commodities markets expected to stabilize in 2009

Commodities markets expected to stabilize in 2009 http://www.washingtonpost.com – NEW YORK -- During the first six months of 2008, commodities looked to be the savior ... who had invested in oil, futures contracts were their undoing. [more...]

Date: 2008-12-29 23:10:48

It's Not The Cheese That Costs so Much

I admit that I can still be astonished. When I watched '60 Minutes' last night I saw a big surprise report that I was right all along about oil ... the commodities futures market. At the New York Mercantile Exchange, it's traded alongside cotton [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 19:28:09

Morning Brief: U.S. and Iraq nearing troop agreement

Morning Brief: U.S. and Iraq nearing troop agreement Thu, 08/21/2008 - 9:54am Top Story Khalid Mohammed - Pool/Getty Images U.S ... of speculators appear to rule the oil markets. According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission ... for the New York Times Magazine. Obama advisors Richard Clarke and Susan Rice slammed "quick-draw [more...]

Date: 2008-08-21 13:05:11

a wise man spoke…

Back in the long gone days of Summer 2008, our gas prices were in the $4.00 range. Congress was looking in to the price of oil and why it had risen ... futures market, in which investors buy and sell promises to deliver oil at a later date, and claimed ... commodity futures — “is almost equal to the increase in demand from China.” Many economists scoffed [more...]

Date: 2008-12-24 04:13:22

The Government Wants Your Opinion on Prediction-Markets Regulation

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is soliciting public comment on the regulatory treatment of event (prediction) ... to that enjoyed by established futures and options exchanges. Aside from the obvious libertarian argument [more...]

Date: 2008-07-03 22:26:38

Are Speculators Really That Bad for Commodities Markets? (pfblogs.org)

David Enke submits: Commodity index investors (ie, speculators) sold $39 billion worth of crude oil futures between the July market peaks and September 2nd, a time that saw a rapid sell-off in crude oil prices (see Independent.iearticle).Complete Story » ... [more...]

Date: 2008-09-12 11:41:59

Cyklotron 2.4

New technical analysis method. New formulas and indicators. Professional tool for market analysts. Stocks, commodities, forex, futures and t-bonds trading become unexpected effective. EOD data in csv and prn formats. Cyklotron finds and optimizes quotes cycle and it generates traading signals [more...]

Date: 2008-11-27 07:50:05

4 Links I liked:

4 Links I liked: Posted November 7th, 2008 by itrade4real Financial bonds business commodities corn dollar ETF finance futures gold loss markets Money profit risk stock trading treasury Wheat Read the full article: http://www.itrade4real.com/2008/11/links-i-liked.html10vote Our catalyst today is the payroll data at 8:30 am. Not much [more...]

Date: 2008-11-07 13:46:45

Overnight markets: Commodities gloom

Asian stocks fell to a two-week low on Wednesday, following US and European markets overnight, as commodity prices slumped, pointing to a worsening outlook for global economies. Futures on the S&P 500 Index rose 0.5%, however, after losing 2.2% Tuesday as General Motors sank to the lowest price since 1943 amid [more...]

Date: 2008-11-12 05:23:21

Flawed system

11 November, 2008 General News/Issues   Source TheStar Tuesday November 11, ... trading on the world stock exchanges. These commodities are traded in the futures markets where ... changes. Hedge funds and other speculative investment funds control about 60% of the wheat traded [more...]

Date: 2008-11-11 05:15:24

The Price of Gas will soon be $1.50, right?

This will teach them, right? H.R. 6377 directs CFTC to use all its authority, including its emergency powers, immediately to curb the role of excessive speculation in the energy and swaps futures markets ... that an artificially high demand for essential commodities such as oil and corn has been created [more...]

Date: 2008-06-27 20:30:06

Watching Oil

I am taking a look at oil here.  The front month contract has fallen from $147 in July – remember then? – to $33 Friday ... me that this move is far more than any “deflationary” end-of-the-world trade. The contango in the futures ... .  I had been bullish on commodities for much of this decade until markets got really stupid earlier [more...]

Date: 2008-12-22 14:00:56

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