FOREX ROLLER COASTER

Lately the Foreign Exchange market has made a roller coaster ride seem boring.Currency pairs stay in 5 hour quiet lulls, and then either blast off, or drops off a cliff. Economic news, commodity prices, or Central Banker jawboning may cause prices to move at a 90 degree angle and change the global capital flows in mere minutes [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 20:57:00

Blog posts (637) | Videos (156)
 

Sorry, Cowtown

From today’s Calgary Herald: I was asked for a few comments on the local market, and they were not pretty. The sellers in the picture above need to understand one thing: If your house isn’t moving, you have the wrong price. — Garth By Mario Toneguzzi, Calgary Herald Fiona Warren admits she and her husband, Andy, [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 17:30:38

Decoupling to world: "I'm still not dead yet!"

The last time that some version of the title you see above appeared in these pages was way back in November, ... to cheap capital and high commodity prices. All three props have now collapsed. In particular, as America’ ... . This could reduce emerging economies’ future growth rates [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 00:17:06

RL Redneck Wedding Update…The Saga Continues

This was originally written back in July. I am reposting it with the latest updates for all of the people (OK…1 person) who have inquired about “Lacie” aka Mrs. Drake. This is rather long so run to the bathroom and pee. Then, grab a cup of coffee/soda/beer/vodka, etc. and make yourself comfy.I cross my fingers…hope to die… [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 03:04:17

4 Minute Devotions: Everything We Need

This is one of those blessed verses that we all need to read and hear during uncertain times ... of us worry about our future, and with the stock market crash, some of us have lost substantial ... for or start a new job. In times like these, faith becomes a priceless commodity through the promises [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 16:25:05

4 Minute Devotions: Everything We Need

This is one of those blessed verses that we all need to read and hear during uncertain times ... of us worry about our future, and with the stock market crash, some of us have lost substantial ... for or start a new job. In times like these, faith becomes a priceless commodity through the promises [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 16:08:00

DrumBeat: December 13, 2008

Greed, hatred, warfare and the race for fossil fuels NEITHER an optimistic nor a pessimistic prophet on energy, the author of " ... . Although Peter Tertzakian does not mean it, his vivid historical account of mankind's thirst for energy ... thirst for energy just to live better and, sometimes, to wage wars. break Falling oil prices taking [more...]

Date: 2008-12-13 14:32:05

Links: Jennings vs. Rubio, Round One

by Lang Whitaker I mentioned in the Dirty Thirty that I’ve been on the road, but I didn’t mention where I was. Well, I’m in Barcelona. For now. By the time you read this, I’ll be on the way back to the US of A. I arrived in Barcelona early Wednesday morning, spend all day and night Wednesday working on some secret ish for a future issue [more...]

Date: 2008-12-12 04:27:32

James Hamilton on the Liquidity Trap

He writes: Econbrowser: The new, improved fed funds market: Yet another week of institutional changes that render all those nice macroeconomic texts and professors' lecture notes obsolete. The interest rate at which banks lend their Federal Reserve deposits to one another overnight is known as the fed funds rate. For the last 20 years, U.S [more...]

Date: 2008-11-10 14:51:49

All signs point to explosive rise in the gold price: Part 1

“Downside protection and potential extraordinary upside participation” With more than 20 years of experience in the investment industry, ... s got to stimulate. Is it going to be enough and what will that mean for commodities? Or, if it doesn ... it was in ’02, but there’s less gold around, ostensibly because the rise in all the other commodities [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 16:28:26

Global trends driving 'land grab' in poor nations: activists

A farmer in the Philippines where the government have opened talks with Qatar over the lease of agricultural land KUALA LUMPUR (AFP) ... including high prices for oil and commodities, the biofuels boom, and now the sweeping downturn ... group Grain said in a recent report.It said that some deals were targeted at boosting food security [more...]

Date: 2009-01-04 07:42:00

Winter Meetings Are Heating Up

Just one day after acquiring Gerald Laird from the Rangers, the Tigers went out and made another deal to retool the club for 2009 ... in their careers (i.e. Shane Spencer, Karim Garcia, etc.). Jackson, on the other hand, is a proven commodity ... -of-the-rotation starter for the foreseeable future. By acquiring Jackson, the Tigers might be done [more...]

Date: 2008-12-12 01:03:36

Munger on Middlemen

Mike Munger of Duke University talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the often-vilified middleman--someone who buys cheap, sells dear and does nothing to improve the product. Munger explains the economic function of arbitrage using a classic article about how prices emerged in a POW camp during World War II [more...]

Date: 2008-10-27 12:39:55

You Have to Stop to Change Direction

The bursting of the internet bubble was good for the computer industry. Many of us didn't like the medicine, but I can't remember a single customer upset at the idea of paying $20,000 for computing infrastructure that used to cost them $100,000. The price compression came from open source software, and a move toward general purpose servers, [more...]

Date: 2008-11-10 16:45:03

(Summers x White House now) ÷ Fed in Future = Geithner in Treasury

The other shoe in the great Treasury Secretary sweepstakes dropped this morning as Obama’s team outlined a way to eat their cake and have it too ... and commodity derivatives at BNP Paribas Americas. “The naming of Geithner certainly increases the possibility ... will have to deal with the U.S. relationship with China, the future of mortgage giants [more...]

Date: 2008-11-22 14:26:27

Job Losses Continue - “Unprecedented Economic Conditions”

Job losses continue to dominate the headlines in 2009. Logitech To Slash 15% Of Work Force ZURICH (Reuters) ... to ensure that we adjust capacity to meet any future changes in demand and seize new opportunities.” Alcoa lost much of its luster in the recent commodity boom, failing to match the profit rise of other [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 05:28:59

Prioritizing US Airline Industry Needs for 2009

With news being made on every move the President-elect makes during his first days in Washington, I think it appropriate to prioritize airline issues that Swelbar sees as important for 2009. I do not make resolutions. If I did, many of this year’s items would be nothing more than broken promises from years past [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 16:47:12

‘A Hanging Concentrates the Human Mind’

Cross-Posted at Left Flank (featuring Charlie Rose’s interview with Martin Wolf) ... see 6% GDP growth next year. And, commodity prices, including oil, continue to fall (although ... their future”: either spend, or save. I found this interesting because, amid the rush to reform [more...]

Date: 2008-10-18 04:20:55

Managing change vs Managing uncertainty

I just had an e-mail correspondence with a client in the financial industry who pointed out something interesting:" ... on the current financial turmoil. The introductory paragraph says it all: "The future of capitalism ... and other commodity prices, lurched wildly, while housing prices in Spain, the United Kingdom [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 08:58:20

A blast from the past

Niall Ferguson imagined what a repeat of the sequence of events which led to the collapse of the first era of globalization would look like if ... in the crisis. Most U.S. commodity markets had to suspend trading, as did most European foreign ... in 1773. The New York market reopened for limited trading (bonds for cash only) on November 28 [more...]

Date: 2008-10-18 14:49:47

Did Speculation Fuel Oil Price Swings?

(CBS) About the only economic break most Americans have gotten in the last six months has been the drastic drop in the price of oil, which has fallen even more precipitously than it rose. In a year's time, a commodity that was theoretically priced according to supply and demand doubled from $69 a barrel to nearly $150 [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 15:10:00

The Seduction of Governor Ted Strickland

Read it and weep, well, depending on your position on gambling: “I can tell you if our economy was robust and growing and we were seeing job development occur without having expanded gambling in Ohio, that would be my preference,” Strickland said [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 16:44:01

Fat newspaper profits are history

Despite mounting declines in sales and circulation in recent years, most newspapers today still generate profits surpassing those of many Fortune 500 companies. But the fat profits are coming to an end, because newspapers are running out of ways to cut costs.After producing operating earnings at an average rate of 27 [more...]

Date: 2008-10-22 04:32:00

Media Release: Constellation Selling its Value Spirits Brands for $334 Million

·         Increases focus on higher-margin mid-premium spirits brands·         Leverages existing infrastructure to improve efficiencies·         Will reduce borrowings using net cash proceeds·         Updates fiscal 2009 reported basis diluted EPS guidance FAIRPORT, N.Y., Jan. 12 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ — Constellation Brands, Inc [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 15:19:54

Saturday/Sunday stuff

I'm doing a lot of research right now, but when ever I see some thing being "recommended", that immediately ring's my alarm bell's, it's over stocks that I don't understand "why" they are being blown up, case in point is THIQ, I mean, this thing was in the "news" every fricking day for , well, years, and then, well, [more...]

Date: 2009-01-11 01:34:00

Global Warming: A Commentary

Greiner serves on AFF's Board Last summer, when much of America’s attention was focused on a political campaign, the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) published their proposed rules to regulate CO2 emissions and established a deadline for commenting on the proposed new regulations for shortly [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 21:15:53

In The News Today

Monty Guild’s Commentary This is why China will dominate. They behave more intelligently than the politically driven west. China makes strategic use of commodity collapse Tue Jan 6, 2009 2:45am EST By Eadie Chen - Analysis BEIJING (Reuters) - China’s government is using the collapse in commodity prices to further [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 04:21:00

Gain Your Prospect's Attention

On a cold call you have approximately 10-30 seconds to grab your prospects’ attention—and you won’t get a second chance ... ? This introduction makes “high speed Internet access” into a commodity. It’s a thing. Most of this caller ... . They don’t need another. Whatever you are selling, if you make it into a commodity, (“I’m a printer…” “ [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 00:43:00

Top 2009 Stock: The U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble

Attempting to escape the clenches of the credit crunch, nervous investors ran screaming toward Treasury bills ... as commodities and housing stocks.You see, most bubbles form because people believe there's a lot of money to be made. But when the frenzy dies, as it did with commodities, prices come down... hard [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 09:09:00

Top 2009 Stock: The U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble

Attempting to escape the clenches of the credit crunch, nervous investors ran screaming toward Treasury bills ... as commodities and housing stocks.You see, most bubbles form because people believe there's a lot of money to be made. But when the frenzy dies, as it did with commodities, prices come down... hard [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 09:09:00

Thursday morning links

TOP STORIES Murky future for auto rescue amid GOP opposition - AP Foreclosure Storm Will Hit U.S ... , Companies - Washington Post Commodity crash tests faith in supercycle - Telegraph U.K.'s door open ... , SafeHaven MARKETS/INVESTING Global oil demand to shrink - report - CNN/Money OIEA sees oil demand [more...]

Date: 2008-12-11 13:40:49

DrumBeat: January 1, 2009

Blackout fear for EU as gas row escalates Jose Manuel Barroso, the European Commission president, called on Moscow and Kiev to solve the dispute as soon as possible. While Gazprom, the Russian energy giant, says it will continue pumping gas to European customers through Ukrainian territory, there are fears that Germany, [more...]

Date: 2009-01-01 13:44:53

DrumBeat: September 17, 2008

Oil spikes $6 on safe-haven buying, weak dollar NEW YORK - Oil prices shot up $6 a barrel Wednesday, ... global economy was eroding demand for energy. But analysts said oil is unlikely to resume its upward ... often have been followed by sharp selloffs as oil market traders try to cash in. break No relief [more...]

Date: 2008-09-17 13:50:07

Chile, interest rates, inflation, Bachelet and the central bank

Bachelet proves she can maintain her composure and smile even in the most difficult of circumstancesPresident Bachelet gave a very interesting ... goes). Anyhow, here are a few direct quotes from Bachelet in that interview after being subjected ... are net commodity exporters thus the drop in world commods prices is a net negative. However [more...]

Date: 2009-01-02 15:15:00

On Economic Influence - Talk of a different America

On Economic Influence - Talk of a different America Posted by Terry Pearson on January 6, 2009 I have been very much against the U.S. governments idea that we can spend our way out of economic trouble. All we are doing is playing hot potato with an active hand grenade. Eventually, such a plan will blow up in our faces [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 05:33:33

SF Fed President Yellen Talks Dovish

A: I'm taking some time off from real estate this month and watching all that is happening in the stock market & credit world. A little disclosure, I did re-activate my trading account to get a more real time look at what is going on daily in the equity markets; screenshot at bottom of this post of my trading software [more...]

Date: 2008-09-04 18:56:54

More on Gold and Silver Backwardation and Manipulation (5/5)

“Gold going to permanent backwardation means that gold is no longer for sale at any price, whether it is quoted in dollars, yens, euros, or Swiss francs… To put it differently, all offers to sell gold are being withdrawn.” - Dr. Antal Fekete by Jake, the Champion of the Constitution Originally published December 14, 2008 at http://www [more...]

Date: 2008-12-17 22:25:25

Rising sea levels ‘could spark conflict over energy and food reserves’

From Telegraph UK A report revealed “environmental stress” had increased the risk of conflicts over food and resources in the region ... to the escalating fight for the world’s natural resources, including an increasingly precious commodity – dry ... nations. High global oil and commodity prices, the biofuels boom and the economic downturn [more...]

Date: 2009-01-10 10:23:37

The Need to Fundamentally Rethink Food

A sustainable global food system is absolutely essential to a healthy future for humans and the environment, ... a speech he made as the president-elect of charity Garden Organic, which will shape future food ... commodity markets.” Water scarcity: “One of the key things that I have been pushing [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 11:30:26

Get Out Now!

Get Out Now! By Andrew Bary, Barron's | 9 January 2009The bubble in Treasuries looks ready to pop, sending prices on government debt sharply lower. But just about every other corner of the bond market beckons— and could provide competitive returns with stocks, even if the equity markets have a strong 2009 [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 16:52:00

Global trends driving ‘land grab’ in poor nations: activists

KUALA LUMPUR (AFP) — Resource-hungry nations are snapping up huge tracts of agricultural land in poor Asian nations, ... including high prices for oil and commodities, the biofuels boom, and now the sweeping downturn ... rights group Grain said in a recent report. It said that some deals were targeted at boosting food [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 01:47:51

Surviving a coming USD collapse

by Christopher Laird, PrudentSquirrel.com | November 6, 2008 Now that the US election is over, we get to think about the Future. And, no matter how you look at it, the entire world, the West particularly, is in for tough ... and commodities have taken a big hit because of a general liquidation in everything [more...]

Date: 2008-12-07 02:21:25

DrumBeat: December 18, 2008

Oil drops 9 pct as demand outlook overshadows OPEC NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. crude prices dropped more than 9 percent to $36 a barrel Thursday as slumping demand and swelling U.S. inventories offset OPEC's record supply cut agreement. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on Wednesday agreed to cut output by 2 [more...]

Date: 2008-12-18 13:42:11

Online Trading 101 - Basics And Benefits

Trading has been around for the longest time, from since way back in the day in the old kingdoms when an egg was considered a form of currency and ... of knights and kingdoms to today's modern world, trading has caused a storm in the world economy ... is called a commodity, and this is the term being thrown about by traders. Traditional trading was done [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 08:34:11

2009 Top Stocks: A Bull with Growing Horns

In trading earlier this week, several water companies got off to a great start. Midway through trading on Monday, Northwest Pipe (NASDAQ: NWPX), Layne Christensen (NASDAQ: LAYN), Gorman Rupp (AMEX: GRC), and Badger Meter (NYSE: BMI) were all showing sizable chunks of green.Yet other water industry stalwarts, like Consolidated Water ( [more...]

Date: 2009-01-11 08:10:00

2009 Top Stocks: A Bull with Growing Horns

In trading earlier this week, several water companies got off to a great start. Midway through trading on Monday, Northwest Pipe (NASDAQ: NWPX), Layne Christensen (NASDAQ: LAYN), Gorman Rupp (AMEX: GRC), and Badger Meter (NYSE: BMI) were all showing sizable chunks of green.Yet other water industry stalwarts, like Consolidated Water ( [more...]

Date: 2009-01-11 08:10:00

2009 Top Stocks: A Bull with Growing Horns

In trading earlier this week, several water companies got off to a great start. Midway through trading on Monday, Northwest Pipe (NASDAQ: NWPX), Layne Christensen (NASDAQ: LAYN), Gorman Rupp (AMEX: GRC), and Badger Meter (NYSE: BMI) were all showing sizable chunks of green.Yet other water industry stalwarts, like Consolidated Water ( [more...]

Date: 2009-01-11 08:10:00

DrumBeat: December 23, 2008

Steve LeVine - Blunder: A New Age for Russia In August, Putin’s Russia seemed unstoppable, specifically after its five-day war with Georgia punctured the appearance of a new era of U.S. power in the former Soviet Caucasus and Central Asia. Georgia seemed the crowning achievement of a several-year-campaign of projecting Russian power over its [more...]

Date: 2008-12-23 14:14:56

Back to the Future - Commodities Rule Again

I feel like I've fallen asleep and someone transported me back to about 9 months... the whole gang is back! ... positions are being taken back to the future by HAL. The charts above are why I say it makes zero sense for you to spend even 1 minute of research in commodity stocks. In the new hedge fund era of the past [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 20:14:41

Japan's Variations on ZIRP; ¥ Intervention Ahead?

We seem to be entering a time when the official policy rates of major industrialized nations are converging on a range. That range is between zero and one percent. By historical standards, these levels are undoubtedly ... the declines in the prices of petroleum products and the stabilization of food prices. Looking [more...]

Date: 2008-12-19 08:22:00

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