Proceed with Caution
This is one of those "the market will either go up, down, or sideways" posts. Read no further if that infuriates you ... . Others are saying an up close on the first trading day of the year means an up year. "All the bad ... time. The last two years' star stocks are trading substantially below their highs. How [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 22:06:55
Blog posts
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Videos
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Copper Rises in London on Speculation China Will Purchase Metal
By Claudia Carpenter Jan. 9 (Bloomberg) — Copper rose in London, erasing this week’s loss, on speculation that China’s State Reserve Bureau, ... . Aluminum inventory in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange declined 18 percent ... in the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index of 26 commodities. On the LME, copper inventories jumped 5,875 tons [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 16:23:59
Resource War, Investing in Demographics, Bottom for Stocks and Gasoline, Fund Managers and More!
by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias Russian dispute turns into European crisis… the first days of a coming resource war? Not Russia’s only problem… Chris Mayer on a global demographic shift Enjoy $1.60 gas — it might soon be gone… the beginning of the end of the gas price crash Survey says: [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 18:46:45
Investing In Commodities
I was reading Larry Swedroe’s The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need the other day, ... a futures contract; however, I have been thinking about adding commodities to my overall portfolio ... There are several ways to gain exposure to commodities without the complexities of futures trading [more...]
Date: 2008-12-22 00:28:53
DrumBeat: December 31, 2008
The Peak Oil Crisis: Civil Unrest Before grappling with 2009, it might be useful to remind ourselves that there is a dark side to what lies ahead. There was a little flurry in the news last week when it was discovered that the Army War College had released a report talking about preparing for civil unrest in the U.S [more...]
Date: 2008-12-31 13:58:02
Uncertainty About Our Survival
To those of you who have already contributed to our fundraising campaign, thank you. We are deeply grateful. As we look at 2009, there is real uncertainty about our organization’s survival. Faced with rapidly declining funds, we must either require a membership fee — thereby blocking public access [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 22:28:02
Currency News - Monday, 12 January 2009
Economic News USD - Detroit Auto Show Adds Confidence to the U.S. Economy The big news for the USD this week appears to be the continuation of its recent rally. Approaching 1.3400 against the EUR in today’s early trading hours, there is potential for the Dollar to remain in this bullish slide until other fundamental news shifts attention [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 09:37:43
Folk Music, The Middle Class Mafia and Life By Proxy
WARNING - This blog post has lots of bad language in it. That is because I am pissed off. If you are offended by bad language then dont read it.I have just read a hilarious blog posting by a Daily Telegraph writer, Emma Hartley, about Folk Music and the fact that Nick Griffin ( aka The Devil) has taken to appearing at folk music gigs.http://blogs [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 09:45:00
YET ANOTHER PONZI SCAM...PHILADELPHIA'S JOSEPH FORTE
Another scam surfaced over the weekend, this time it was a Philadelphia scumbag by the name of Joseph Forte ... . Joseph Forte raised funds from as many as 80 clients and withdrew millions of dollars in fees while ... said. “He recognized that his inability to raise additional funds would result in the scheme collapsing [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 13:30:00
That Bastion of American Socialism
Over the past few months the American mainstream chatter has experienced a sudden spike in the gratuitous use of the term "Socialist." It was prompted by the attempts of the federal government to resuscitate insolvent financial institutions. These attempts included offers of guarantees to their clients, [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 22:15:00
Get Buy / Sell Call on BSE, NSE & NSE F&O Shares: 13 Jan 2009
1. Satyam has proved itself as Zhootha and Raju7 has become a Conman from being a gentleman. The real story and Raju motive behind the whole story is as assessed by me and a few pertinent questions which needs to be probed by SEBI. 2. Raju in a deliberate move kept inflating the profit to keep Satyam ahead in the race in so many years but his [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 18:21:56
Will Obama Open NAFTA Up For Renegotiation?
Published on Saturday, January 10, 2009 by Foreign Policy In FocusObama and NAFTAby Laura CarlsenWill he or won't he?In the shadow of the economic crisis, a war of words rages over whether President-elect Barack Obama will hold to his campaign promise of opening up the North American Free Trade Agreement for renegotiation [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 16:58:00
Santa Claus demands massive bailout
By Alex R. Dahl Special to TV Barn NORTH POLE, December 24, ... operations are so vast that they are exposed to just about every commodity and currency on earth. Others ... at the mercy of commodity and currency swings," one trader said. "Any sensible person in his position [more...]
Date: 2008-12-24 15:22:02
I Meant to Do That
I Meant to Do That December 19, 2008 By John Mauldin The Fed has taken interest rates to zero. They have clearly started a program of quantitative easing. What exactly does that mean? Are we all now Japanese? Is the Fed pushing on a string, as Japan has done for almost two decades? [more...]
Date: 2008-12-20 13:29:22
January 10 2009: Hornswoggled Absquatulation
Russell Lee Tobaccy Candy 1940 Pool hall, Shasta County, California Ilargi: The revolving doors between Washington and Wall Street are swinging like never before. Lawrence Summers and Robert Rubin are the finance powerhouses in the upcoming Obama administration. They were in the exact same place 10 years ago [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 16:28:00
Margin Debt Drops to 2005 Levels (FNM, FRE, X, FCX)
It appears the trend of buying or shorting stocks with borrowed funds continues to trend down ... . There was a lot of money to be made for traders who shorted names like Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE), as well as many of the red-hot commodity stocks that peaked this past summer [more...]
Date: 2009-01-03 16:39:53
WSF Headline Roundup - 1/8/09 - SEC Probes Pequot again; Wal-Mart warns; India's Enron; Frank: TARP aid for munis; Mtge rates < 5%; BOE cuts rates to lowest since 1694!; Intel warns; Lower '09 metals prices?; Other retailers warn; MGM Mirage to cut debt
SEC Reopens Probe of Trading at Pequot Wal-Mart’s Fourth-Quarter Earnings Will Miss Forecast $1bn fraud at India IT group Satyam Accounting Scandal Erodes Confidence in India As scandal rocks Satyam, rivals may pick off clients U.S. House’s Frank Says TARP Funds Should Aid Muni-Bond Issuers PennyMac, Led by Ex-Countrywide Head, [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 13:40:42
2009 Forecast: The U.S. Dollar
Like most markets, the Forex market has been incredibly volatile over the last year. Currency expert Kathy Lien lists possible courses for the economy and the U.S. dollar and the Euro in 2009 in her blog post below. 2008 Price Action: It has been an exceptionally active year in the foreign exchange market as currency volatilities hit record highs [more...]
Date: 2008-12-31 18:34:52
Fun with numbers
As Pommygranate explained a year and a half ago, hedge funds are not only a zero-sum game*, ... that there were lots of 'funds of funds' or 'feeder funds' that exist merely to invest in actual hedge funds, such as, er, Bernie Madoff's, 'nuff said. Their charging structure is just as outrageous [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 10:11:00
U.S. Halts Two Ponzi Schemes in Wake of Madoff - posted by Steven Wevodau
By Rachelle Younglai January 9, 2009 The U.S. government took action Thursday to halt two Ponzi schemes as investors continue to reel from the fallout of accused swindler Bernard Madoff’s alleged $50 billion fraud. Securities and futures ... for failing to detect Madoff’s alleged fraud. On Thursday, the SEC and the Commodity Futures [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 21:23:09
Production-side environmentalism -- Decreasing production while increasing consumption?
By Don Fitz, International Journal of Socialist RenewalCorporate "environmentalism" is consumer-side environmentalism. "Make your dollars work for the Earth." "Buy green!" "Purchase this green gewgaw instead of that ungreen gadget." "Feel guilty about driving your car." Consumer-side environmentalism is loath to discuss production [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 04:40:00
How Will Deflation Worries Affect Gold?
Gold has historically been an asset that people turned to when they are worried about inflation. Today, though, we are in a very unique situation ... all, prices for just about every other commodity, from oil to nickel to cotton, have plunged [more...]
Date: 2008-12-22 18:48:33
Archives
Archives (0) 11: Another Duncan Energy Distribution Increase (0) 10: Cool New Tools (0) 09: It’s time to call your bank. (0) December 2008 (3) Detailed Monthly Archive 23: Merry Christmas, 2008 (0) 21: A case of the Christmas funk. (4) 14: A government in need of a history lesson. (4) November 2008 (9) [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 19:54:25
Words from the (investment) wise 12.28.08
Investors spent the holiday-shortened Christmas week in an un-merry mood, digesting more gloomy economic data and taking stock of a tumultuous 2008. With the S&amp;P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Index down by 35.8% and 40.6% respectively for the year to date, many investors would be anxious to wave the old year goodbye [more...]
Date: 2008-12-28 12:31:33
Year of change?
We’re pleased to present this story from The BBC. By Patrick Smith Editor, Africa Confidential After Ghana’s cliff-hanger presidential vote, [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 00:45:06
The World’s Largest Hedge Fund
Good Evening: As was speculated in this commentary last night, the FOMC did indeed take dramatic action today after concluding its two day meeting ... , and commodities were trying to levitate. Expectations by most analysts were for the FOMC to lop 50 [more...]
Date: 2008-12-17 04:15:02
Deflation, Deleveraging, and the Stimulus Effect
Forecast 2009: Deflation and Recession January 10, 2009 By John Mauldin Where are we headed in 2009? We will explore that in detail over the next few issues of Thoughts from the Frontline, but today we will start with some of the larger forces which will have a major impact on the economies of the world, [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 12:32:28
Global environmental market expands in 2008
ANTARA News/PRNewswire-AsiaNet, 01/09/09 11:01Singapore - Taking a look back at the Environment & Building Technologies Industry in 2008 and its market outlook for 2009. The environment market globally has done business worth $US650 million in 2008 and is growing by double digits. The expectation is that it will reach 45% growth by 2015, from 2002 [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 19:14:00
Lack of due diligence and excess of trust leed to $50bln loss !
The Madoff case has heightened investor skepticism of strategies in which they end up paying two sets of fees. Hedge funds typically take 2 percent of their assets as a management fee and 20 percent of profits, while most funds of funds charge an additional 1 percent of assets and 10 percent [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 20:46:00
Book Reviews: 3 John Rubino Books
So, I was asked to review "Clean Money: Picking Winners in Green Tech Boom". Whenever I get asked to review a book that tells me what stocks to pick, my BS antenna goes way up. So, I asked for all the authors books so I could review his last predictions. Your gonna want to read this [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 09:50:00
Red Sox John Henry saw huge hedge fund gains in 2008--CNBC
(CNBC, Rovell): "But, very quietly, John Henry had apparently had a great year in 2008,as the rest of the economic world started hurting ... for the year, its biggest decline since 1931. Meanwhile, John Henry's funds were counting the cash. The chart below has the numbers for his funds through November, which is the latest update [more...]
Date: 2009-01-05 21:38:00
Will the US Electric Grid Be Our Undoing?
Back in May 2008, I wrote a post on the US Electric Grid. With the Obama administration taking over shortly, I expect there will be more discussion about upgrading the US electric grid, so below the fold is a re-post of the earlier essay. One obstacle to upgrading the grid not discussed in my earlier post is the issue of the differing costs of [more...]
Date: 2008-12-31 15:54:00
THE ANSWER IS: THE EXCISE TAX ON JEOPARDY INVESTMENTS; THE QUESTION: WHAT SHOULD SOME FOUNDATIONS THAT INVESTED WITH MADOFF BE WORRIED ABOUT?
DATELINE: January 8, 2009, Chicago Any lawyer whose law practice focuses on business corporations knows that business corporations are divided into two categories. Closely-held corporations are subject to minimal regulation under state business corporation laws [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 15:57:40
Six Lessons for Investors
Six Lessons for Investors Be diversified and don't assume past performance will continue. JOHN C ... accounted for about 65% of my personal portfolio in early 2000. Because returns on my bond funds since then have totaled 50% and returns on my stock funds were negative 25%, bonds are now about 75 [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 18:23:00
Hourly Action In Gold From Trader Dan
Dear CIGAs, With crude oil getting whacked and the Dollar having another one of those “let’s get out of risky trades” rallies, ... is the level capped by the bullion banks. Last Friday’s release of the Commitment of Traders data [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 18:41:52
John Mauldin's Forecast for 2009
Thoughts from the Frontline Weekly NewsletterForecast 2009: Deflation and Recession by John Mauldin January 10, 2009 In this issue: Forecast 2009: Deflation, Deleveraging, and the Stimulus Effect Muddle Through on Hold Lies, Damned Lies, and Government Unemployment Numbers Central Bankers of the World, Unite! [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 18:53:08
Risk Magazines annual awards
Risk magazine Awards 2009 Volume22/No1 Not wavering, not drowning Last year saw the collapse of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, unprecedented volatility in the market and capital injections into financial institutions by governments across the globe [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 13:41:24
Understanding Deflation
Contrary to , deflation is not falling prices but a decrease in the quantity of money and/or volume of spending in the ... prices, farm and other commodity prices, and, above all, wage rates. To the extent that such efforts [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 17:15:41
Will there be a worldwide re-think on globalisation?
The current financial and economic crisis sweeping across the world is merely in its early stages. The worst is yet to come ... BASF.Shortly before trading ended at noon on New Year’s Eve, the brokers on Wall Street paused [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 19:08:26
Commodity Index Rebalancing
Dear CIGAs, Here is the other "WHY" gold was sold down today. The truth will set you free of the manipulators. $25,000,000,000 of index commodity funds follow the index readjustments made herein. Gold is REDUCED from 10.8 to 7.9 percent of the index which therein causes related selling by INDEX FUNDS [more...]
Date: 2009-01-05 22:13:14
That Bastion of American Socialism
by Dmitry Orlov Over the past few months the American mainstream chatter has experienced a sudden spike in the gratuitous use of the term "Socialist." It was prompted by the attempts of the federal government to resuscitate insolvent financial institutions [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 12:28:00
Quelle Surprise! Hedge Funds Had a Horrible 2008, Lost 18%
While no one hedge fund index is comprehensive. all the reports to date point the same way: the hedge fund industry lost its clients a lot of money in 2008. While you can blame the horrid ... of institutional money. In the stone ages, when hedge funds were the province of wealthy individuals [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 07:05:35
DJ-AIG Commodities Index Changing Weightings
DJ-AIG Commodities Index Changing Weightings IndexUniverse Staff Writes: ... commodities will get a bump. The Dow Jones - AIG Commodity Index, which serves as the underlying benchmark for several popular index mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, is going through its annual [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 19:58:57
Covering the Basics of the Forex Market
.fullpost{display:inline;}The foreign exchange, or forex, market is relatively young, ... to keep their currency values stable in relation to the U.S. dollar, making a forex market unnecessary ... , the forex market handles about $1.9 trillion in transactions every day, and it runs 24 hours a day [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 22:27:00
Wiping out my savings is one thing. Wiping out Bubbie and Zadie's is something else entirely
the now-famous video of me and Madoff and his employee Josh Stampfli misses. All that talk in the video about how Madoff makes money and what his dealings with the SEC are like relates to his brokerage business, which was a pillar of the Nasdaq system and was, as far [more...]
Date: 2008-12-17 12:04:47
US Dollar Break Down is the Key to Gold, Silver and Juniors. 2009 Investment Memorandum. GDX, DXY, SLV, GDL, AUY, SLW, SST.v, OK.v, MGN, TNR.v, CZX.v
US Dollar is the key to the potential break out of Gold, Silver and Junior miners ... to all these respectful guys. At least they have never managed to invest social security Trust funds with Madoff. Or even TARP funds for that matter. OK, OK we give up - it is not to their credit [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 17:25:00
Permanent Link to 365. Speculation in crude oil futures markets
365. Speculation in crude oil futures markets When George Bush was inaugurated on January 20, 2001 the NYMEX near futures crude oil contract was $32.19/bbl (see also item 308). On September 10 ... weeks, due to international cooperation and support, the futures price actually fell hitting a low [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 08:57:43
The Good and Bad of Fertilizer Stocks
It seems like it’s been years since CNN Money opined, “Who needs Google and Apple? Agriculture companies are the new ‘it’ stocks ... for 2009. The sell-off has come from deleveraging hedge funds, mutual funds selling to meet [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 16:15:14
macroéconomie_12/01/2009
Source : NEP (New Economics Papers) | RePEc Sources of the Great Moderation: Shocks, Frictions, or Monetary Policy?Date:2008-11By:Zheng Liu Daniel F. Waggoner Tao ZhaURL:http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:emo:wp2003:0811&r=macWe study the sources of the Great Moderation by estimating a variety of medium-scale DSGE models that incorporate regime [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 10:17:22
Joseph Forte Sued by Commodity Futures Trading Commission, SEC for Running $50 Million Ponzi Scheme
Another money manager bites the dust. According to Dow Jones Wire, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission have brought ... the investors he would invest their money into an account that trades in securities futures [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 17:00:00
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