One Method to Flush Out Oil Speculators: "Liquidation Only" Restriction
Daniel Dicker, a former oil trader writing at TheStreet ... has not been manipulative but just a rush to improve gains in commodities... The futures markets, however [more...]
Date: 2008-06-27 18:46:52
Blog posts
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It’s Hard to Be a Hedge Fund
Jay Miller reports: Hedge funds had a rough July as bets on rising commodity prices and falling financial stocks failed to pan out, ... . The trade has been a favorite of traders for some time. High oil prices and troubles in the U.S. banking [more...]
Date: 2008-08-12 08:34:00
Monday morning links
TOP STORIES Further bank aid must include pay limits - Reuters U.S ... as traders weigh ECB meeting - MarketWatch 'Uranium prices will go to $80-90 a pound in 2009' - Commodity Online The Long-Term Gets Shorter - Hussman Funds Massive forces cloud market outlook - MSN [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 14:18:03
Afternoon Reading: Lehman’s Plans Don’t Impress the Internet
After weeks of speculation, Lehman Brothers finally laid out its plan. The Wall Street firm forecasted a fiscal third-quarter loss of $3 ... what a pickle the firm is in. The firm’s current liquidity should pacify traders for a while. But unless ... , Fuld has a rich “golden parachute.” Tidbits Lehman souvenirs are a hot commodity, reports [more...]
Date: 2008-09-10 10:25:00
Who let the oil market be manipulated?
For anyone who believes that speculation by energy traders explains at least a portion of the run-up in oil prices, the announcement that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating oil market ... some commodity trading exchanges to operate without oversight while others must report what's going [more...]
Date: 2008-05-30 15:51:47
President Bush Threatens Veto of Poison-pill Laden Drilling Bill; Oil Falls to $90/bbl
—Gabriel Malor So far, Republicans have managed not to cave on offshore drilling (though ANWR seems to be out of the question) ... . In related news, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission actually looked through the data ... the six-month period. In other words, index traders and swap dealers were driving the future price [more...]
Date: 2008-09-17 14:55:10
"China may be heading for a severe economic slowdown"
The dreary forecast comes from Eric Fishwick, chief economist at CLSA, an Asia-focused private equity firm ... , monthly national power output in October fell for the first time in a decade. Traders in Singapore said it could be a slump that would have a huge negative impact on global commodity demand: ferrous [more...]
Date: 2008-11-08 03:14:31
In The News Today
Dear CIGAs, There is absolutely no question that the price of gold will reach $1200, $1650 and then continue onward to Alf’s numbers ... , according to the median forecast of 20 analysts, traders and investors surveyed by Bloomberg ... crisis since World War II. The metal was one of only four commodities to rise when the Reuters [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 15:24:36
U.S Market Update
- Markets are off their best levels in early trading as traders give up some of the gains from yesterday's rally ... levels not seen in nearly a month. Commodity stocks in general are seeing a snap back from [more...]
Date: 2008-07-09 17:52:37
Understanding The Silk Road
The silk fabric fascinated even the ancient civilizations. It was considered to be a valuable commodity and China was the main producer of the finest silks ... items traveled great distances along the trade route. Traders in India and Malaysia valued [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 20:45:42
Trading Options: Short Term Power Moves
trading options has many advantages over other investment vehicles ... Strangle.Option contracts also provide traders with an enormous amount of leverage. In the US, 1 option ... of 1,000 times the underlying stock or commodity. Our Newsletter Services are backed by years [more...]
Date: 2009-01-04 05:01:16
Dec 29 2008
Mostly slow day, still presented a few nice trades. SLW particularly was useful educational one as we applied so called "umbrella concept" ... :30 {Threei} NYMEX FEB CRUDE FUTURES MOVE BACK BELOW $40/BARREL - TRADERS 08:30 {Threei} **Note ... {ese} my kind of measuring 09:18 {Threei} watching SLW, possible mover on renewed commodities [more...]
Date: 2008-12-29 21:06:20
From the U.S. to Australia – Where the Majors Stand
By Chris Gaffney, CFA www.everbank.com I’m assuming you’ll be away from the markets for a few days yourself as you spend time with your ... . Commodity currencies like the Canadian dollar, South African Rand, and the Australian dollar ... Zealand dollars rose as the Fed’s bailout pushed traders back towards risky markets. These currencies [more...]
Date: 2009-01-03 18:58:49
The Funny and Money Monday Daily Links
My oh my are the airlines in trouble. You can mess with the vacationers but don't mess with the business travelers. The days of floor traders are slowly coming to an end Barrons is banking on $100 oil ... happy about it. The Brightest Stars in the Commodity Boom (try to forget the gay Asian cowboy [more...]
Date: 2008-06-23 11:25:00
Margin Debt Drops to 2005 Levels (FNM, FRE, X, FCX)
It appears the trend of buying or shorting stocks with borrowed funds continues to trend down ... . There was a lot of money to be made for traders who shorted names like Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE), as well as many of the red-hot commodity stocks that peaked this past summer [more...]
Date: 2009-01-03 16:39:53
Unfolding Worldwide Turmoil Could Reverse Years of Prosperity
TIPPING POINT? Traders work at the Brazilian Mercantile and Futures Exchange in Sao Paulo. Brazilian stocks plunged the most in a decade as commodity producers dropped, and trading was halted twice because of the decline. (By Marcos Issa — Bloomberg News) [more...]
Date: 2008-10-07 15:21:42
EU Lawmakers Press ECB to Reconsider Inflation Ceiling
European lawmakers want the European Central Bank to reconsider its inflation ceiling, ... commodity prices and the euro’s surge. Policy makers are unlikely to yield to political pressure. ECB ... , boosted the euro, as traders priced in the possibility of further interest-rate increases. Higher interest [more...]
Date: 2008-07-17 08:52:00
Study Shows Speculators Helped LOWER Oil Prices
It was said to be the year of speculators gone wild ... , the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has offered hard statistical data that financial trading hasn't ... -month period. In other words, index traders and swap dealers were driving the future price of oil [more...]
Date: 2008-09-17 15:39:38
Dow Gets Bullish, Commodities Iffy
Hope you survived the week! Interesting new signals from my trading setups based on this afternoon's Commitments of Traders data on the latest derivatives positioning. See my latest signals table [more...]
Date: 2008-12-05 21:10:00
Speculators are Part of the Market
In a July 21, 2008 column in the Jewish World Review with a shouting headline of STOP OIL SPECULATION NOW! ... trade the right to specified quantities of a specified commodity to be delivered at some point ... to deliver a barrel of crude petroleum on December 1, 2016 at a price of $150. Traders who believe the price [more...]
Date: 2008-07-24 22:30:22
FOREX Trading Advantages
by singapore trader reports get you ever given some thought to trading FX, which is also known as currency, forex, or foreign exchange? ... , indices and commodities globally.CFDs (Contracts For Differences) are one of the worlds’ fastest [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 15:41:49
FOREX Trading Advantages
by singapore trader reports get you ever given some thought to trading FX, which is also known as currency, forex, or foreign exchange? ... , indices and commodities globally.CFDs (Contracts For Differences) are one of the worlds’ fastest [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 15:40:06
TU#118 - short positions do some braking
Jump to CommentsTRADING UPDATEOK, that felt more familiar ... on 31 December, and the 3 short commodity ETFs I re-instituted the same day had the desired braking ... (TSX:HGD).Speaking of HGD, by far my most prolific trader, but which I had almost given up for dead [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 03:49:04
Traders Driving Oil Prices Up
"Just about everyone is ducking for cover. Big Oil is pointing fingers at hedge fund managers, who blame commodity index funds, who in turn cite surging demand in China, production losses in Nigeria [more...]
Date: 2008-06-19 20:03:56
Hourly Action In Gold From Trader Dan
Dear CIGAs, Due to time constraints associated with trading I have to keep things short today – gold rebounded off of support near yesterday’s lows ... the line just below $866 or so. Some of this selling is no doubt associated with commodity index fund ... up all the gains that it managed to ridiculously acquire as the ninny index funds went diving [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 19:18:29
Potential Portfolio Candidates
I've been jettisoning some names this week to make way for new kids on the block; or in some cases, old friends we've once owned ... commodity stocks since HAL9000 trades** almost all of them in 1 group; if oil and/or the Baltic Dry ... you get trounced. These are just day traders paradise for now. Remember, to HAL9000 oil = coal = iron ore [more...]
Date: 2009-01-03 18:58:41
Daily Dose: 12/17/08
» Minneapolis Settles With Hmong Family in Botched Raid » Walnut City Wants More Asian Deputies Patrolling Area » Life Sentence For Man Convicted Of Sunset Murders » Community Rallies to Support Sundays at Berkeley Thai Temple » Filipino Art Exhibit in Oakland » Danny Lee Wins $15,000 for ‘Winter War’ » Ichiro Joins Dice-K, [more...]
Date: 2008-12-17 23:03:36
“Swap” Inventor Blames Regulators for Financial Crisis
David Swensen, of Yale University Endowment investment management fame discusses the current state of the market and derivatives trading ... he’s dismayed by how other traders have so abused his invention and the “complete and utter failure ... for IBM and the World Bank to trade, or swap, payments in different currencies. It was a key development [more...]
Date: 2009-01-05 22:12:51
Surprise! More Jobs Lost & Unemployment Surges
A: Well, not a surprise actually. Anyone surprised by this report simply has decided to keep their head in the sand, to hold on to hope ... , as the fed futures traders and mass media led us to believe. Today's surge in unemployment, downward ... cut, from bets on a rate hike previously to combat commodity inflation. First the news [more...]
Date: 2008-09-05 14:11:04
The Coppock Guide and MTI Agree
Everyone is looking for indicators that might tell them whether the market has hit a bottom and how far along the correction might have come so far ... in the November, 1994 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, the “bible” ... . So if we compare prices relative to a year ago - which happens to be the most common interval - and we see [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 04:42:00
Putin’s Deguello
Streetwise Professor reports on Vladimir Putin’s “deguello*”:The island of stability theme is now longer operative ... with the world economy–through the commodity markets, most notably the oil market (as a seller) and the grain ... from Russian hands.Some things are somewhat changed. Today, international investors and currency traders [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 10:05:33
Hope and despair at the onset of economic recession: Who cares about the tunnel? All I can see is the light…
I don’t do well in despair. Clarify that. I don’t mean that, when I find myself in despair, I fare especially badly. What is mean is, if despair were a classroom discipline for which one could be tested and graded, I would probably flunk out. I’ve lived through some ugly stuff in my life — who hasn’t? — but mostly I didn’t notice [more...]
Date: 2008-12-14 06:23:39
DrumBeat: December 29, 2008
Gazprom, Once Mighty, Is Reeling MOSCOW — A year ago, Gazprom, the Russian natural gas monopoly, aspired to be the largest corporation in the world. Buoyed by high oil prices and political backing from the Kremlin, it had already achieved third place judging by market capitalization, behind Exxon Mobil and General Electric [more...]
Date: 2008-12-29 14:06:30
Hourly Action In Gold From Trader Dan
Dear CIGAs, It is difficult to get an accurate read on today’s price action because it was dominated by front running of index fund rebalancing to conform to changes being made in some of the major commodity indices. Copper was up 7% at one time ... the various commodity markets. Frankly I find the idea of reducing the weighting of gold [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 18:59:22
Setting the Bull Trap
Yesterday I sent you an Outside the Box from Paul McCulley who supports the government and Fed activity (in general) in the current economic crisis. Today we look at an opposing view from Bennet Sedacca of Atlantic Advisors. He asks some very interesting questions like: Shouldn't the consumer, after decades of over-consumption, [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 23:00:48
Did Speculation Fuel Oil Price Swings?
(CBS) About the only economic break most Americans have gotten in the last six months has been the drastic drop in the price of oil, which has fallen even more precipitously than it rose. In a year's time, a commodity that was theoretically priced according to supply and demand doubled from $69 a barrel to nearly $150 [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 15:10:00
Top Five Causes of the Financial Crisis
1. Alternative Realities: The Black-Scholes Revolution Hatched by two Berkeley finance professors, the Black-Scholes model of pricing options securities took hold in the financial industry in the 1980s. It was known as “Portfolio Insurance” because it purported to free traders of all market risk, at least theoretically [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 00:43:12
2009 Top Stocks: A Bull with Growing Horns
In trading earlier this week, several water companies got off to a great start. Midway through trading on Monday, Northwest Pipe (NASDAQ: NWPX), Layne Christensen (NASDAQ: LAYN), Gorman Rupp (AMEX: GRC), and Badger Meter (NYSE: BMI) were all showing sizable chunks of green.Yet other water industry stalwarts, like Consolidated Water ( [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 08:10:00
2009 Top Stocks: A Bull with Growing Horns
In trading earlier this week, several water companies got off to a great start. Midway through trading on Monday, Northwest Pipe (NASDAQ: NWPX), Layne Christensen (NASDAQ: LAYN), Gorman Rupp (AMEX: GRC), and Badger Meter (NYSE: BMI) were all showing sizable chunks of green.Yet other water industry stalwarts, like Consolidated Water ( [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 08:10:00
2009 Top Stocks: A Bull with Growing Horns
In trading earlier this week, several water companies got off to a great start. Midway through trading on Monday, Northwest Pipe (NASDAQ: NWPX), Layne Christensen (NASDAQ: LAYN), Gorman Rupp (AMEX: GRC), and Badger Meter (NYSE: BMI) were all showing sizable chunks of green.Yet other water industry stalwarts, like Consolidated Water ( [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 08:10:00
FOREX ADVANTAGES
by singapore trader reports get you ever given some thought to trading FX, which is also known as currency, forex, or foreign exchange? While this is not the like as trading sure stocks, on that point is a lot of money ... for you, and then take things from on that point. If you are apprehensive about trading FX, you need to become alert [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 19:25:10
The Real Election Trading
For the last few days traders have been talking about whether the equity market is “discounting” a win by Senator Barack Obama (D ... Futures Trading Commission, according to Tom Snee, spokesman for the IEM. (Intrade is an unregulated ... near as liquid as even the more thinly-traded commodities, that doesn’t mean there isn’ [more...]
Date: 2008-11-04 17:32:29
The Real Election Trading
For the last few days traders have been talking about whether the equity market is “discounting” a win by Senator Barack Obama (D ... Futures Trading Commission, according to Tom Snee, spokesman for the IEM. (Intrade is an unregulated ... near as liquid as even the more thinly-traded commodities, that doesn’t mean there isn’ [more...]
Date: 2008-11-04 20:25:00
Understanding Options And Benefits Of Trading Options
by Walter Fox With the financial landscape changing rapidly and traditional investments putting people in the red rather than in the black, Options Trading looks less like a risky venture and more like a speculative endeavor that can both ... investors come to the table prepared, and they will approach Options Trading with a system. Options [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 13:22:42
Dow Jones money: a stable future economy
I began to write this text in October when Ben Bernanke and his friends followed the laws of string theory (a Reuters blog) and cut the rates to fight against the self-feeding global panic. Note that to "push the strings" means to try to lower the rates in a situation where no one wants to lend or borrow, anyway [more...]
Date: 2008-11-27 08:00:00
Is the US dollar going the way of the pengo?
From the Wikipedia article on hyperinflation:The largest denomination banknote ever officially issued for circulation was in 1946 by the Hungarian ... and currency trader, guide extraordinaire to the mysterious ways of The Casino (aka international monetary system) -- has reissued his August 14, 2008 Dutch Uncle essay, More On the Federal Reserve [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 18:19:00
Denver Mommy Blogger Does Canadian Christmas
A few weeks ago, my friend Lisa hosted a Christmas soiree and had a gift exchange to be remembered. For those who don't know how to play: everyone brings a wrapped gift and then draws a number and takes a turn either choosing an unwrapped gift or swiping one that has already been opened [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 14:30:00
Bearish Stock Market Sentiment Continues
Last week's indicator review concluded that "while recent selloffs have not been as broad and sustained as in early October, neither are we yet getting indications of sustained buying interest. Until that occurs, it is premature to assume that a durable intermediate-term bottom is in place [more...]
Date: 2008-11-24 00:34:00
2009 Top Stock Is Already Looking Up
The lavish praise you see here comes from people just like you.They had a chance to double their money during 2008…making just 17 smart plays.They followed the recommendations of Dan Amoss' Strategic Short Report…bagging gains of 92%…162%…173%…238%…even 462%.And I'm not cherry-picking those numbers [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 14:07:00
2009 Top Stock Is Already Looking Up
The lavish praise you see here comes from people just like you.They had a chance to double their money during 2008…making just 17 smart plays.They followed the recommendations of Dan Amoss' Strategic Short Report…bagging gains of 92%…162%…173%…238%…even 462%.And I'm not cherry-picking those numbers [more...]
Date: 2009-01-10 14:07:00
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