What is the front futures contract?

The other day I got a question about futures contracts from a member of my mailing list on a subject which I’m sure others have as well ... . Understanding Open Interest in Futures and Options Trading Predicting Fed Rate Policy with Fed ... . I am in the progress of learning the details about Futures right now. On the web I’ve lately [more...]

Date: 2008-12-24 13:42:59

Blog posts (124) | Videos (5)
 

The devil in the details: Fed doesn’t disclose repurchase facts

Filed under: Market matters, Money and Finance Today, Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Goldman Sachs Group (GS) ... today are down another 217 basis points on the 30 year March futures contract. Since last Wednesday the March 30 year bond futures contract has dropped from 141 down to 133 for a drop of about 800 [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 22:00:00

Chart of the day: Did McCain ever have a chance?

This morning, I moseyed over to Iowa Electronic Markets to see what the futures markets were saying about tomorrow’s election. ( ... .) Not surprisingly, people investing real money in election futures contracts give Barack Obama ... contract prices over the last 2+ years. Take a look at it below and click it so you can see it fully [more...]

Date: 2008-11-03 14:16:25

Olam

Prices of most inventories are hedged. Olam’s business model is to earn amargin from providing the supply chain management service to its clients, andOlam does not speculate on soft commodity prices to get its margin. Olamtypically hedges 80-85% of its inventories with futures contracts (futures contractexist for cotton, coffee, cocoa [more...]

Date: 2008-11-07 03:36:06

NYSE Euronext picks up 5 percent in MCX

largest commodity derivatives exchange, the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX), through its affiliate Euronext NV, it announced late Tuesday night ... business, entered a licensing agreement July 31 2006 for MCX to use Liffe futures prices, enabling the Indian entity to list domestic ‘mini’ futures contracts for Robusta coffee based on Liffe futures [more...]

Date: 2008-07-02 09:35:21

Another Ponzi Scheme

Broken Record I’ve said it all before.  The following press release can be found here ... the funds in an account that would trade in securities futures contracts, including S&P 500 stock index futures. According to the complaint, despite the impressive and consistent returns he reported [more...]

Date: 2009-01-13 03:37:41

When You Are Wrong It's Best Just To Take Your Medicine

Well, when I am wrong, I am usually way wrong. So, gloat away: A quiet data revision that has boosted by nearly 25% the number of oil futures contracts ... oil futures and options as of July 15—compared with just over 38% under the previous classification [more...]

Date: 2008-08-08 10:32:50

Obama Hates Oil Speculators, Hearts Ethanol

Bloomberg reports that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama is proposing new rules to increase government interven... err... oversight in energy markets. He wants to "require the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to regulate trading in energy futures contracts and direct the commission to investigate ways [more...]

Date: 2008-06-23 16:04:51

OTC Derivative Growth Since 1998

As the world financial markets head into complete meltdown, it is worth taking a moment to look back to see where much of this began ... are meant to monetize risk of default. Futures contracts, options, swaps, and many others allow one party ... for interest rate contracts, commodity contracts, and credit default swaps. Though commodity [more...]

Date: 2008-09-18 20:14:31

US TNote Future – March 2009

Comment: This contract retraces 38% of the most recent rally to a new record high and those who should know better are talking of an asset bubble ... significantly to 40 later this year. This futures contract has [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 10:03:35

Green Ink: Oil Tanks and Science Celebrates

paper Expiring January crude oil futures nosedived Friday while February futures contracts hovered around $42, Bloomberg reports, ... oil majors drooling over Turkmenistan’s huge natural gas field can forget about it, reports the WSJ [more...]

Date: 2008-12-19 13:00:23

US Home Price Securities - Getting Closer To Launch

MarketWatch is reporting that MacroShares Housing Depositor LLC today filed an amended prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission to ... expressed herein are those of the author, and no statement should be as an offer to buy or sell any futures contract, or security or option or other derivative instrument. Trading of all such futures [more...]

Date: 2008-10-01 14:41:58

4 Real Estate Trends Worth Watching

Now that the real estate market has departed from the traditionally hot summer season, ... under contract do not necessarily predict what will sell in the future (as these are only contracts and many fail to close), but they are an indication of the strength of near-future sales [more...]

Date: 2008-11-17 13:44:46

No fireworks in precious metals markets

Depending upon which closing price you look at, gold either ended the Thanksgiving holiday flat or up a percent or so - not what many were expecting, but not bad. According to Jon Nadler at Kitco, most of the holders of December futures contracts who did show up at work today rolled them over to the February contract. I'll be on a panel with Jon [more...]

Date: 2008-11-28 20:43:58

Corn v. Crude

Why are corn and oil prices rising in tandem? I've become a bit obsessive about oil prices -- I check them online several times each day, just out of habit. But most other commodities remain something of a mystery to me. I keep ... from the phenomenally helpful futuresource.com, comparing the rise in recent futures contracts for corn [more...]

Date: 2008-07-15 22:42:50

Samuelson on Why We Should (Not) Shoot the Speculators

Who are these offensive souls? Well, they often don’t fit the stereotype of sleazy high rollers: ... and producers of commodities to hedge. Airlines can lock in fuel prices by buying oil futures; farmers can lock ... generally don’t buy the physical goods, whether oil or corn. Instead, they trade “futures contracts,” [more...]

Date: 2008-07-01 15:26:38

Collect Lots Of Information For Having Effective Futures Trading

Information plays very important role, when you want to get a stronger position in the market ... like internet. On internet there are lots of websites that are dealing in futures brokers firms and guiding ... . If you haven’t much information on futures contract then don’t think that you can get profits [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 03:43:44

Are Any Grains Worth Buying at These Prices?

Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE ... in 07-08 was really a speculative phenomena. Traders started piling into cotton futures contracts ... , as the market was not able to sustain a rally. But it's coming. Wheat also may be worth a look here [more...]

Date: 2008-11-23 19:08:00

"The" Mansion had to Downsize...

Forget the credit panic and sinking house prices!Ignore the melting ice caps and soaring food prices!Want a real sign that an Apocalypse is imminent? ... publishing pictures of naked ladies? Have futures contracts for garter belts skyrocketed ... I hear you ask.  Okay here is the financial snapshot ~    Revenues decreased $12.3 million [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 06:03:00

Kevin Duffy on the dreaded "speculator"

Ah, the dreaded “speculator,” the perennial whipping boy of anti-capitalists. What is so evil about the speculator? ... where your mouth is - buy a futures contract.” And I reminded them I was doing the same, taking ... and bid up inflation hedges - not just crude oil, but grains, precious metals, and other commodities [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 05:40:00

Morning Update

Unpleasant Employment Data Sours SentimentMacro-economic worries are once again influencing shares and sending the market lower after ADP reported ... , and markets overseas are mixed. As of 8:35 a.m. ET, the March S&P 500 Index Globex futures contract ... are designed to conserve cash, cut costs, and improve competitiveness.Monsanto (MON $73) is tradin [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 15:45:00

Closing Comments September 02 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have surged today as a variety of fundamental and technical factors have combined to drive prices higher ... . There was an unsubstantiated rumor of a SWF fund selling commodities and buying Treasury debt. In that regard, the futures contract performed better than cash today and that would lend some credence [more...]

Date: 2008-09-02 20:19:33

Investing In Commodities

I was reading Larry Swedroe’s The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need the other day, ... a futures contract; however, I have been thinking about adding commodities to my overall portfolio ... There are several ways to gain exposure to commodities without the complexities of futures trading [more...]

Date: 2008-12-22 00:28:53

Interesting articles you might have missed during the week

The pace of change for the world has accelerated.  Perhaps a glance at these stories can help keep your Orientation current! ... to the Caribbean. Futures contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade show {the price of} wheat ... harvests and worsen a food crisis for developing countries. Global production of wheat, the most [more...]

Date: 2008-11-01 12:00:27

Interest Rate Risk Exposure

Interest rate exposure refers to the interest rate differential between the two countries' currencies in a foreign exchange contract ... conditions:* 2 pips spread on six currency pairs.* Providing online trading services without maintenance ... or futures contract. As a side note, arbitragers are investors that take advantage when interest [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 19:58:00

The USD and Backwardation.

(Chart from SharpCharts - Click on image to enlarge) The USD has had a great run, but now it looks very toppy to me ... . Backwardation in basic commodities happens frequently, but this is the first time since 1999, briefly ... of Gold is higher than the nearest futures contract. Some would define “backwardation” as the cash price [more...]

Date: 2008-12-09 04:09:13

News will not make you money

Just saw this on Bloomberg this evening - http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=a1Ab6lUay5TE&refer=newsJan. 5 (Bloomberg) -- The steepest plunge in crude prices on record may be setting up oil investors for a rally this year, if history is any guide. The so-called forward curve of futures contracts traded on the New [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 13:37:00

<b>Looking Behind And Looking Ahead<b>

The surprising thing about 2008 was how quickly, the bad investments in toxic paper and ludricous energy futures of $200 a barrel came to a head ... chip stocks to cover crazy future contracts in commodities and energy. Moral: Just because ... investment in commodities and infrastructure companies.Green techology will be developed quickly [more...]

Date: 2009-01-01 19:46:01

The stage is set for an exciting finale

#fullpost{display:inline;}With the end of the year rapidly approaching and nearly every asset class now sporting double-digit declines in 2008, the dollar vs. gold competition is heating up with the latter clearly having the momentum (via ... for the January futures contract that expired at about $33 a barrel last week (you can't give [more...]

Date: 2008-12-20 18:29:00

S&amp;P/Case-Shiller Certificate Issued.... In Germany

The German exchanges Xetra and EUWAX have listed a security called "Open End Index Certificate on the S&amp;amp; ... be as an offer to buy or sell any futures contract, or security or option or other derivative instrument. Trading of all such futures, securities, options and other derivative instruments entails significant risk [more...]

Date: 2008-08-14 19:24:29

Bombay Stock Exchange gets SEBI nod for currency derivatives

Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) has received “in-principle approval” from market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) ... Committee on Exchange Traded Currency Futures, released by the Reserve Bank of India and SEBI May 29 ... currency futures contracts facilitate easy access, increased transparency, efficient price discovery [more...]

Date: 2008-08-29 07:29:46

Paul Krugman Critiques Guillermo Calvo on Commodity Prices

The fact that somebody has bought an oil futures contract means that somebody else has sold one--hence no effect on demand without real storage ... , as far as I can tell, online. Why isn’t Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv on JSTOR?). Speculation can affect ... institutions that buy commodity futures as an investment — are responsible for the price surge. The [more...]

Date: 2008-06-22 15:35:07

Recognizing Reversal Patterns in the Stock Market

The S&amp;P 500 Index (ES futures contract; top chart) staged a nice turnaround in afternoon trading ... , enabling ES to retrace its day's losses. Recognizing these patterns as they emerge is a key element of trading success; turnarounds often occur when buyers/sellers cannot move markets higher/lower [more...]

Date: 2008-12-29 23:29:00

CFD Report Australia- Find a Broker

by TRADERREPORTS As the name suggests, Contracts for difference (CFD) ... allow investors to take long or short positions, and unlike futures contracts have no fixed expiry ... are now mostly online and use electronic platforms, which makes the trading routine a lot faster. CFDs [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 00:00:09

Oil, Another 'Trouble in Middle East' Bounce

A bounce to $50 and even $55 isn't excessive. Prices are now above the declining 20 day EMA (blue line) and should gravitate to the 50 day EMA ( ... for a rally this year, if history is any guide.The so-called forward curve of futures contracts traded ... cut, raised the price of all the crude types it exports to the U.S.”Another way to play commodities [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 13:30:00

Oil Prices Mixed As Market Focuses On Soft Demand

NEW YORK: Oil prices were mixed on Tuesday as market concerns about soft demand eclipsed supply concerns amid rising geopolitical tensions in the ... due to deepening geopolitical frictions, analysts said. The New York futures contract hit an intra ... of an economic recovery in 2009, hedge funds back on commodities and finally cold temperatures,” said [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 03:30:26

Deal Or No Deal...The Buck Is A Bust

Oil Curve Steeper Than '99 Shows Possible Gain in '09Jan. 5 (Bloomberg) -- The steepest plunge in crude prices on record may be setting up oil investors for a rally this year, if history is any guide.The so-called forward curve of futures contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange suggests oil will rise 28 percent to $60 [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 01:28:00

Give me the physical, not the paper

#fullpost{display:inline;}Ambrose Evans Pritchard over at the Telegraph has filed this report (hat tip Domus) ... their stockbroker to buy shares of one of the many gold ETFs or some commodity futures contract ... ," he said, referring to exchange trade funds listed in London, New York, and other bourses [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 19:44:00

CFD Broker Australia- Find A Broker

by TRADERREPORTS As the name suggests, Contracts for difference (CFD) ... allow investors to take long or short positions, and unlike futures contracts have no fixed expiry ... are now mostly online and use electronic platforms, which makes the trading routine a lot faster. CFDs [more...]

Date: 2009-01-04 18:52:59

Oil Ready For Another Big Bull Run?

Bolling: Oil Should Be in the $70-$85 Range, Buy the DipsPosted Jan 07, 2009 11:53am EST by Aaron Task in Investing, CommoditiesRelated: USO, DUG, ... futures contracts expire each month.Bolling said he will add to the USO position if/when spot crude falls ... from the different brokerage houses areall over the place. The parameters they are looking at [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 21:15:00

Commodities Markets Expected to Stabilize in 2009

Monday, December 29, 2008 Commodities may face lingering economic pressures; ... , particularly for those who had invested in oil, futures contracts were their undoing.At the start of 2009 ... demand and they need present demand," said Matt Zeman, head trader at LaSalle Futures in Chicago. "Until [more...]

Date: 2008-12-30 02:50:00

OPEC's Actions Irrelevant for Now

By Markos N. Kaminis - Economy &amp; Markets:Visit the front pages of Wall Street Greek and Market Moving News to see our current coverage of economic ... $40.50 on the WTI futures contract for January deliver, the price of crude oil at the hour ... a relatively significant action from the consortium, but as crude oil prices moved curiously counter [more...]

Date: 2008-12-17 21:45:00

Alan Knowles, Haywood Securities: Finding that Elusive Bottom

Source: The Energy Report Haywood Senior Oil and Gas Analyst Alan Knowles says we haven’t seen a bottom yet, ... that are $45 today were $148 last summer, so while the futures indicate current market sentiment, they are not the best indicator of future prices. The contract that we’re talking about right [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 15:31:26

Why Are Oil and Natural Gas Prices Behaving so Similarly?

This is a question that has been bugging me for a while ... is used for heat, the price of gas is very seasonal. Here is a graph of the gas futures curve (from Nymex, December 23, 2008):Now you can see here that futures contracts for winter months are higher than [more...]

Date: 2008-12-26 19:10:00

DON'T WORRY, DON'T WORRY

Wonkette can calm down. Yes, the Intrade futures contract is showing a better than 50% probability of an economic depression in 2009. But it's only because the rules for settling the contract contain a silly error. They define ... consecutive quarters then the contract will expire at 100. Expiry will be based on official [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 16:04:24

Oxford Analytica on the DRC´s mining sector

With prices for most base metals currently at two-thirds of their earlier peaks, and futures contracts being exchanged at or below their marginal cost of production, any hopes ... (Camec) have already suspended some copper and cobalt operations, and further shutdowns are expected [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 19:43:55

CFD Trading Australia

by TRADERREPORTS As the name suggests, Contracts for difference (CFD) ... ) can be traded on equities (shares), index trades, FOREX and commodities. Contracts for difference allow investors to take long or short positions, and unlike futures contracts have no fixed expiry [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 16:06:34

BEST CFD BROKER- CFD Trading Rules

by TRADERREPORTS As the name suggests, Contracts for difference (CFD) ... allow investors to take long or short positions, and unlike futures contracts have no fixed expiry ... are now mostly online and use electronic platforms, which makes the trading routine a lot faster. CFDs [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 15:43:49

Weekly Futures Positions Review - December 28, 2008

Top posts from the past week:Lean Hog Prices Poised to Climb in 2009Why eBay is the Best Indicator of Gold's Fair ValueOur coverage of Marc Faber's ... of our trades and positions from the previous week:Continued to hold one cocoa futures contract - up slightly on the week. Looking to add to this position on higher high's.Continued to hold one [more...]

Date: 2008-12-28 23:35:00

Australia CFD Trading- Find a Broker

by TRADERREPORTS As the name suggests, Contracts for difference (CFD) ... , one is more like a traditional spread better where you are trading with the CFD provider and have to trade ... allow investors to take long or short positions, and unlike futures contracts have no fixed expiry [more...]

Date: 2009-01-04 18:52:22

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