Zero - The Loneliest Number?!?
In The Secret Bank of Japan Lexicon, I attempted to demystify all things ZIRP for financial Japan-o-philes. But as we are all ZIRPers now ( ... that will depreciate less.ZIRPflation - The likely future consequence of ZIRP.disZIRPflation - The temporary state of purgatory where core asset and commodity prices are falling coincidental to ZIRP [more...]
Date: 2008-12-18 03:28:00
Blog posts
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Videos
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"More Speculation about Those Oil Speculators"
A Washington Post article claiming that one firm, Vitrol, "at one point in July,.. ... , and so on. If light sweet alone, are we talking about just futures, or futures plus options? Or is Cho ... in commodity prices. Jim Hamilton throws cold water on this idea. He has other objections to the article [more...]
Date: 2008-08-22 07:24:00
Top 2009 Stock: The U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble
Attempting to escape the clenches of the credit crunch, nervous investors ran screaming toward Treasury bills ... as commodities and housing stocks.You see, most bubbles form because people believe there's a lot of money to be made. But when the frenzy dies, as it did with commodities, prices come down... hard [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 09:09:00
Top 2009 Stock: The U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble
Attempting to escape the clenches of the credit crunch, nervous investors ran screaming toward Treasury bills ... as commodities and housing stocks.You see, most bubbles form because people believe there's a lot of money to be made. But when the frenzy dies, as it did with commodities, prices come down... hard [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 09:09:00
Africa’s Economic Outlook for 2009
As 2008 comes to a close, it is fitting to reflect on the events of the past year and consider how they will shape Africa and its economy in 2009 ... -oriented think tank in Ghana, paints a realistic picture of Africa’s future economic outlook given the downturn in commodity prices and the ongoing global economic crisis. He predicts that countries [more...]
Date: 2008-12-29 21:30:15
Over-dependence on derivatives hit AIG
The US financial tsunami has washed out giant investment banks of the US and has led to many commercial banks being bought over or nationalised ... to speculate on the future price of commodities or shares - without buying the underlying investment ... , the inaccuracy of which may not be exposed for many years. Derivatives like futures, options and [more...]
Date: 2008-10-03 10:29:14
HOW OBAMA WOULD STIFLE DRUG INNOVATION
The pharmaceutical industry has begun to give up on developing drugs for routine medical problems in favor of discovering "specialty" ... controls -- based on a view of medical care as a commodity to be purchased at the lowest price, with little ... economically pernicious effect of price and access controls is how they distort future investment decisions [more...]
Date: 2008-10-21 13:35:56
Gold Prices and Financial Spread Betting Strategy
Precious metals gain in commodities tradingGold prices are on the rise again, ... Brokerage Group Inc. in Closter, New Jersey. “When most else is unsafe, or yielding virtually nothing [more...]
Date: 2008-12-27 21:24:03
Tapping into water conservation
Tapping into water conservation Posted by: Aqua Blog Maven on December 29, 2008 at 3:26 pm From Sustainable Industries: Water may be everywhere, ... in the not-so-distant-future. While some companies are already viewing water as the next oil—and are starting to prepare ... says Neal Dikeman, a partner at Jane Capital. “If energy is a commodity price [more...]
Date: 2008-12-29 23:26:19
Speculators not to blame
In certain quarters people keep arguing that the surging oil and food prices are caused by speculative international investments in these commodities. People who understand how the market is working have always maintained that the principle effect of commodity futures is beneficial because they smooth extreme swings of prices [more...]
Date: 2008-07-11 05:22:11
The Property Market in Greece
by Mary Bush The property market in Greece has seen some decline in demand in 2008, however the prices are not likely to crash, ... for people who have bought property recently of course and is better news for future investors ... . Construction costs are rising, as they are everywhere due to the rise in commodity prices although [more...]
Date: 2009-01-07 22:04:57
U.S Market Update
- Equity markets have begun the week in positive territory, helped by declining commodity prices. Oil futures have shed about $4/bbl and gold has fallen this morning as the dollar has firmed ... % in Chicago led by Wheat while August natural gas is off close to 5% despite the formulation [more...]
Date: 2008-07-07 15:35:29
Catching the Market's Themes
I once again want to thank those who have recently emailed regarding the Twitter posts ... : strong U.S. stocks and U.S. dollar; weaker stocks and currencies overseas; and falling commodity prices. All of these are reflections of the relative concerns investors and traders are placing [more...]
Date: 2008-08-12 11:48:22
International Trade Seizing Up Due to Banking Crisis (Updated)
I have been more than a tad concerned about near-paralysis in the money markets and imploding equity prices ... shortages of commodities begins to show up. THE CENTRAL BANKS CAN'T LET THAT HAPPEN OR WE HAVE NO ECONOMY ... comes from the Financial Post, "Grain piles up in ports" (hat tip reader Vox Sanus): The credit [more...]
Date: 2008-10-10 02:56:53
A Proposal for an Investment Strategy
By Ctein I would like to make a suggestion, with all appropriate modesty, that would alleviate a considerable amount of current financial woe ... . Hence, investors always need the Next Big Thing. They moved on to commodities. Prices skyrocketed [more...]
Date: 2008-09-19 04:03:27
Collapse of Proposed Bailout Endangers Car Industry
We all know that the wind of recession had severely hit the global car market. Big U ... stocks, and commodity prices have started tumbling in response to the immediate effect ... in India. The Indian auto industry is gradually making efforts to revive its future. But, a bankruptcy [more...]
Date: 2008-12-18 12:46:09
Mr. L.Purevdorj, a newly appointed President of Mongol Bank: will study of providing more money into the market.
Shortly after appointed as the President of Mongol Bank, Mr. L.Purevdorj answered some questions from media ... trade balance, banking risk. We must increase our currency reserve. We have to work on attracting ... is imported to Mongolia through copper commodity price fall. We shall get rid of this position [more...]
Date: 2009-01-12 04:25:13
Seth Klarman: Investing Against Deflation
Sorry for the thin posting recently, I’ve been going through final exams ... , hyperinflation, where people are afraid of commodity prices rising, to a total deflation in no time ... ? When we, as value investors, invest we look for margins of safety. But if asset prices are falling, the margin [more...]
Date: 2008-12-05 15:38:59
Deals of the Day: Is BCE the Next Busted Buyout?
Deals of the Day gathers all the biggest news of the morning related to mergers and acquisitions, bankruptcies, financing and private equity ... to provide labor, parts, repairs, upgrades, improvements, service, software and equipment in a long ... company Rio Tinto, saying the recent fall in commodity prices and worsening world economy made [more...]
Date: 2008-11-26 13:47:54
Why should central banks cut interest rates?
Central banks around the world are whacking interest rates at a breakneck clip ... up the economy at a time when commodity prices are plummeting, making inflation less of a concern ... ) for a 'future good' (an IOU -money that can be used later). Because people will always prefer having a good [more...]
Date: 2008-11-06 16:22:48
Commodities jump alongside oil prices
By MADLEN READ NEW YORK (AP) — Metals and grains rose alongside energy prices in light trading Friday, after a nine-day plunge in oil encouraged investors to buy back into the struggling commodities market. But so far, there is little evidence that crude oil or other battered commodities [more...]
Date: 2008-12-27 14:09:19
The World Isn’t Flat
Spengler paints an unpretty picture of the current crisis extended under an Obama presidency ... economic superpowers of the future went flying, like children on skates holding onto the back of truck ... consumer, and Asian exports crash, taking commodity prices along with them. The financial crash [more...]
Date: 2008-10-28 16:23:46
Global trends driving 'land grab' in poor nations: activists
A farmer in the Philippines where the government have opened talks with Qatar over the lease of agricultural land KUALA LUMPUR (AFP) ... including high prices for oil and commodities, the biofuels boom, and now the sweeping downturn ... group Grain said in a recent report.It said that some deals were targeted at boosting food security [more...]
Date: 2009-01-04 07:42:00
Who let the oil market be manipulated?
For anyone who believes that speculation by energy traders explains at least a portion of the run-up in oil prices, the announcement that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating oil market ... some commodity trading exchanges to operate without oversight while others must report what's going [more...]
Date: 2008-05-30 15:51:47
U.S. POWER, INFLUENCE WILL DECLINE IN FUTURE - NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL
The report aims to better inform policymakers, ... Thursday paints an alarming picture of an unstable future for international relations defined ... fueled by long-term “increases in oil and commodity prices” along with a gradual shift [more...]
Date: 2008-11-21 02:44:43
Money management guide
When the prices of commodities are booming and expenditure is increasing in every manner, it becomes essential to make some planning for your income ... output etc. If you are investing in some trust or insurance policies, your wealth [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 00:13:42
Maryland’s Gensler finds a spot in Obama administration
Some Marylanders’ names have been tossed around as possibilities for posts in the Obama administration (i.e. former Rep. Wayne Gilchrest and Dr ... as his pick to head up the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The CFTC oversees $5 trillion in futures and options trading — oil and other commodities prices have been hot-button issues there this year [more...]
Date: 2008-12-18 18:11:06
NEWS WIRE: Pakistan: The Case of Microfinance in the Post Crisis World
Source: The Nation. Original news wire here. Pakistan, ... caused by rising energy and commodity prices. The Sensitive Price Index (SPI) which measures a basket [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 05:01:46
Will the global financial crisis halt the rise of emerging economies?
NOBODY talks about "decoupling" any more. Instead, emerging economies are sinking alongside developed ones ... commodity prices. All three props have now collapsed. In particular, as America's housing bust ... economies' future growth rates.Yet emerging economies' reliance on America is often exaggerated [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 18:39:00
The Cheese is Back
by paradox In these carefree times of 2009, such times of prancing nonchalance, not only has the US Manufacturing Index cliff-dived but commodity prices have too--crude oil has been on a dive none of us will likely see again--and the dreaded dairy price subsidies have kicked [more...]
Date: 2009-01-03 15:41:29
Investment Guru Jim Rogers Says Commodities are the ‘Place to Be’ Despite Their Decline
By Jason Simpkins Associate Editor Money Morning Commodity prices have plunged from the record highs they hit earlier this year, but in a recent interview with Bloomberg, investing guru Jim... Money Morning is here to help investors profit handsomely on this seismic shift in the global economy. Money moves markets [more...]
Date: 2008-12-08 05:30:05
Olam
Prices of most inventories are hedged. Olam’s business model is to earn amargin from providing the supply chain management service to its clients, andOlam does not speculate on soft commodity prices to get its margin. Olamtypically hedges 80-85% of its inventories with futures contracts (futures contractexist for cotton, coffee, cocoa [more...]
Date: 2008-11-07 03:36:06
SPECULATORS ARE NOT DRIVING UP OIL PRICES, REPORT SAYS
As Congress debates how to curtail the role of speculators and rein in rising oil prices, ... report by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission with help from six other agencies, including ... offer investors a future return linked to commodity markets, were roughly balanced between purchases [more...]
Date: 2008-07-25 13:21:56
Economic Indicators
Weekly Leading As previously discussed, the two weekly indicator sets have plunged since 6/08 ... the Treasury market. It includes production, commodities prices, the CPI, the 91-day T-bill yield ... . I use weekly data pieces of it to trade bonds. (For another such measure, click here.) Capital Slack [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 21:52:49
Above the fold
A DAILY round-up of economic news: The bailout saga continues to turn ... for oil yesterday. Traders buying October oil futures to cover earlier sales of the contract briefly ... by resurgent commodities prices and a tangled global financial situation. [more...]
Date: 2008-09-23 14:18:14
Pound Collapse Shows Britain Not "Best Placed"
You can't buck the market someone once said, perhaps that is why every time Gordon and Alistair tell us that " ... from these charts the pound is down 25% against the dollar and the yen in the last three months ... a current account deficit and imports more than it exports. Key commodities are priced in dollars [more...]
Date: 2008-10-28 09:16:38
Don't count on the holiday/new year rally in the stock market or Obama rescue package? So, what next?
Commodity prices are falling and so as the stocks markets of Russia and Brazil which are commodity producers, hence its time for commodity consuming stock markets of India/China to move up, so they are rising ... +ve views in long-term that BRIC economies especially India/China offer great future opportunities [more...]
Date: 2009-01-06 19:39:47
Did Airlines Help to Stop Oil Speculation?
The January 6 ATA SmartBrief (a free newsletter that is well worth subscribing to) ... in the prices of agricultural commodities as well? May also writes that “with nearly 90 organizations ... , speculative money started flowing rapidly out of the oil futures market.” This effect isn’t necessarily [more...]
Date: 2009-01-08 07:13:47
China Gengsheng Minerals, Inc. (CHGS.OB) Enters Partnership with Chinalco’s Gongyi Division
China Gengsheng Minerals, Inc. announced this morning that it has forged a supply partnership for bauxite with Aluminum Corporation of China’s ... to ensure the stability of our raw material source for the foreseeable future,” commented Mr. Shunqing ... for their products. In light of the tumultuous commodity prices over last year, we see this partnership [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 15:41:15
Commodity Boom Turns Bust in 2008 as Worldwide Economy Crumbles
By Pham-Duy Nguyen Jan. 1 (Bloomberg) — Commodity prices in 2008 plunged the most in five decades as demand for energy, ... , the slumping economy drove crude oil, gasoline, copper, corn, and wheat down from records in the first ... commodities to post gains. Gasoline futures declined to $1.0082 a gallon last year on the New York [more...]
Date: 2009-01-01 18:57:26
Cleantech: The Recession-Proof Sector
Has the ongoing recession dampened your spirits? It probably has, as it's affected everything from stalwart automakers to commodity prices to home sales to unemployment. But despite a few delayed and canceled downstream projects (steel [more...]
Date: 2008-12-22 10:39:14
Idiots in the Intelligence Community
Idiots in the Intelligence Community Gordon G. Chang - 11.21.2008 - 1:42 PM America’s place in the sun is just about over ... to know what the future will look like is extrapolate. Nonetheless, Global Trends extrapolates. Worse ... increase in oil and commodity prices. That’s a brave assumption, when we have just seen oil fall [more...]
Date: 2008-11-21 18:42:22
Experts: The Bailout Worked! We Think. So Far.
Wondering when the financial crisis will end? How do you feel about….now? An increasing number of experts say the U.S ... BlackRock strategist Bob Doll. Here are some choice quotes from financial experts today ... of credit market easing, the drop in commodities prices [more...]
Date: 2008-10-20 12:30:00
Sunday morning links
#fullpost{display:inline;}TOP STORIESThe End of the Financial World as We Know It - NY TimesEvans says Fed needs to mimic below-zero rates - ... assistance - ReutersMARKETS/INVESTINGA year after $100, oil prices cut in half - SF Gate'Silver prices will follow Gold in 2009' - Commodity OnlinePeter Bernstein’s biggest worry? The dollar - Implode [more...]
Date: 2009-01-04 14:42:00
What Your Broker's Reports Should Tell You, Morningstar
Hurry to mutual finance scrutiny. It is just opening again. You do not want to forget this. The mutual deposit assay visitors said its untreated capital justice indicator was the worst-performing of the group, with a drip of 48.5 per cent. "Oil and commodity prices tumbled in 2008 [more...]
Date: 2009-01-11 03:57:00
Japan, Australia Inject $11 Billion to Combat Rising Money Market Rates
Even with Japan's banks largely on the sidelines in the international housing bubble (US subprime exposure is a mere $8 billion) ... at ICAP Australia Ltd., part of the world's largest inter-bank broker. ``We've been living ... sheets as share and commodity prices plunge after governments in Europe and the U.S. arranged rescues [more...]
Date: 2008-10-07 03:24:42
Who’s Afraid of Deflation?
According to the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) ... minus 4 percent inflation in 2009 (part of which is likely due to lower commodity prices ... , and it may be that further news about other parts of the Obama approach (including the directly on housing [more...]
Date: 2009-01-09 00:30:02
Global trends driving ‘land grab’ in poor nations: activists
KUALA LUMPUR (AFP) — Resource-hungry nations are snapping up huge tracts of agricultural land in poor Asian nations, ... including high prices for oil and commodities, the biofuels boom, and now the sweeping downturn ... rights group Grain said in a recent report. It said that some deals were targeted at boosting food [more...]
Date: 2009-01-05 01:47:51
Trade deficit is going where?
rdan(hat tip Stormy)Market Oracle has an opinion on where the trade deficit will be headed: ... situation: * We make mining equipment at a time when commodity prices are crashing and mines ... . The resiliency of Wal-Mart sale is bad news for the US, as virtually all the retailer's cheap [more...]
Date: 2009-01-05 10:00:00
More daily links
The economy: Worse than it looks - Paul Krugman Yes, It Is a Recession . . . in Goods Production too.. ... - John Gapper New York Fed Makes Unusual Intervention - Real Time Economics Oil and commodities: New study says high grain prices are likely here to stay - EurekAlert Fuel inputs in the food system [more...]
Date: 2008-09-15 21:07:00
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