Economy: Syria Avoids Recession

[ Syrian chef Ahmad Zeidan prepares gourmet Aleppine dishes at the Mirage hotel in the historic city of Aleppo October 21, 2007 ... businessmen money and headache. The terrible run up in commodity prices that threatened to force ... of commodity prices has a down side, however. Oil price declines will hit Syria’s government budget hard [more...]

Date: 2008-12-13 21:58:42

Blog posts (470) | Videos (19)
 

Deflation, COLA and Social Security

By Fester Mish at Global Economic Analysis is pulling some charts on basic food commodity prices. They are falling hard and fast: Judging from a broad basket of commodity prices, we are likely to see declining prices at the grocery stores in the weeks or months ahead. Lower commodity prices [more...]

Date: 2008-10-17 18:15:38

Alcoa Shedding Costs to Bare Bones

Alcoa (AA) announced after the close of trading yesterday that it will cut some 15,000 jobs or about 15% of its workforce ... . This is in stark contrast to shares of Rio Tinto (RTP), whose price surged during the rise in commodities prices ... goods and commodities. There are reports of surplus aluminum stockpiled in China and Europe [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 18:24:53

Speculation and Commodity Prices

Ah, good - I've been meaning to do something like this myself, but never got around to it ... is that commodities that feature no futures markets have experienced as much volatility as those that have them ... is present in commodities markets: Commodity Prices, Again: Are Speculators to Blame, by Jeff Frankel [more...]

Date: 2008-07-25 18:07:00

Commodity Prices Sinking to 52-Year Low

Commodity prices are bracing for their worst month in 52 years as global demand continues to slide ... in commodity history," Eugen Weinberg, an analyst at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt, told Bloomberg ... is struggling to produce and purchase. It also continues a steady, months-long decline of commodity [more...]

Date: 2008-11-03 15:05:56

Where are Commodity Prices Headed Next?

Want to predict commodity price movements? According to this research, the exchange rates for Australia, Canada, Chile, New Zealand, ... ), (ii) the Commodity Agricultural Raw Materials Index (including timber, cotton, wool, rubber [more...]

Date: 2008-09-09 07:24:00

NYT's Krugman: Speculators schmeculators - demand is pushing oil higher, not traders

Filed under: International markets, Commodities, OilOne of the major economic debates on Main Street and in Washington concerns the influence of ... -- driven it higher than a level the commodity would trade at if the price were based solely on supply ... a commodity's price can rise a great deal, without the influence of speculators. His evidence: iron [more...]

Date: 2008-07-01 17:34:00

Hedging – Part 1

Hedging – Part 1 Posted by Robert A. Rudzki on January 8, 2009 The last 12 months have witnessed a remarkable volatility in prices ... to focus on the subject of commodity price risk—and to gain an unpleasant first experience—is to experience a massive runup in commodity prices. This event typically results in TWO unpleasant outcomes [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 13:46:16

Invest on Stocks or Property?

It’s a very strange economic climate at the moment with stocks at very low levels, property prices well off their peaks, oil prices down, and commodity prices down as well. So if you were looking to invest your money somewhere, which ... account automatically. The major drawback with share investing is that you have to pick quality [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 13:34:31

Russia Wrestles With Ruble Collapse

Russia Wrestles With Ruble Collapse Vitaliy N. Katsenelson - Forbes Bad decisions when times were fat spell a rough road ahead for those who ... growth in this decade was completely driven by rising commodity prices, mainly of oil and gas. As the global economy goes into recession and commodity prices either decline or remain at today’s levels [more...]

Date: 2008-12-17 14:02:46

Papua New Guinea: from economic boom to gloom

Author: Aaron Batten PNG had another interesting year in 2008 ... from yet another boom in the price of its commodity exports. High resource prices underpinned ... on effects of the crisis have led to a large downturn in the price of many of PNG’s key commodity [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 11:00:41

Will China's Growth Falter Post Olympics?

We've believed that China would have to hit a speed bump, or worse, at some point ... out of 70,000. Similarly, EconomPic argues (with charts) that: Are commodities being driven ... of commodities A spike in commodity prices hurts Chinese growth prospects Slower growth decreases [more...]

Date: 2008-07-02 16:10:10

Inflation round the corner?

One of John Murphy's intermarket watch areas was the relationship between the 10-year treasury note price and the price of oil ... return it will be bullish for commodities and commodity based stocks, but I am still of the belief gold has to drop more in line with other commodity prices - with that of other precious metals - before [more...]

Date: 2008-12-09 11:57:48

Bernanke's Testimony Apocalyptic (For Fed Chief)

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is testifying before the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs ... have been compounded by rapid increases in the prices of energy and other commodities, which have sapped household ... , a softening labor market, and rising prices of oil, food, and some other commodities. Let [more...]

Date: 2008-07-15 14:34:00

Managing change vs Managing uncertainty

I just had an e-mail correspondence with a client in the financial industry who pointed out something interesting:" ... on the current financial turmoil. The introductory paragraph says it all: "The future of capitalism ... and other commodity prices, lurched wildly, while housing prices in Spain, the United Kingdom [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 08:58:20

Deputy finance minister’s head in the sand

4 December, 2008 General News/Issues   Source : Malaysiakini Deputy finance minister’s head in the sand Charles Santiago | Dec 4, 08 2: ... slashed, future orders cut down to critical levels and retrenchments are being planned. Job losses ... palm and other commodity prices. Crude oil prices dropped to a three-year-low to US$48 yesterday [more...]

Date: 2008-12-04 07:39:45

Overlooked Economic News

Overlooked Economic News By Catherine Rampell In the midst of anxiety over the stock market’s plunge, ... prices are way, way down. (As always, check out GasBuddy.com for historical gasoline prices.) Low ... (though dropping) commodity prices. At Vox EU, the economists Juan Delgado and Indhira Santos argue [more...]

Date: 2008-10-10 21:39:04

"The Perils of Efficiency"

James Surowiecki: The Perils of Efficiency, by James Surowiecki: This spring, disaster loomed in the global food market ... ,” which would buy commodities from farmers at fixed prices (prices high enough to keep farmers ... , and grain reserves, deemed inefficient and unnecessary, were sold off. In the same way, structural [more...]

Date: 2008-11-17 18:08:00

Gold, the solution to high commodity prices

If policy makers were astute, they would quickly seize on the obvious solution to today's soaring commodity prices that are causing so much pain and ... , corn, and other goods on commodities futures exchanges that really weren't set up to handle the sort [more...]

Date: 2008-06-20 14:21:00

Southeast Asia: Newsmakers of 2008

The big story of the year in Southeast Asia was the global economic downturn. A rice and food price crisis hit the region last summer. It was compounded by the dramatic rise of oil and gas prices. When prices of these commodities began to stabilize, Wall Street announced the crash of several banks and major financial institutions [more...]

Date: 2008-12-26 05:36:57

delhistockclub Antique-Sun Sets On Oil, Negative for Reliance, Cairn, Selan, Gail & Ongc

Please find enclosed our Oil & Gas sector report 'Sun sets on oil era' covering Indian upstream companies ... prices, since with falling commodity prices and increased availability of contractors, capital costs ... . Key highlights:•        Contrary to market expectations, we believe that oil prices to remain [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 06:05:00

FOREX ROLLER COASTER

Lately the Foreign Exchange market has made a roller coaster ride seem boring.Currency pairs stay in 5 hour quiet lulls, and then either blast off, or drops off a cliff. Economic news, commodity prices, or Central Banker jawboning may cause prices to move at a 90 degree angle and change the global capital flows in mere minutes [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 20:57:00

Chile, interest rates, inflation, Bachelet and the central bank

Bachelet proves she can maintain her composure and smile even in the most difficult of circumstancesPresident Bachelet gave a very interesting ... goes). Anyhow, here are a few direct quotes from Bachelet in that interview after being subjected ... are net commodity exporters thus the drop in world commods prices is a net negative. However [more...]

Date: 2009-01-02 15:15:00

Understanding Deflation

Contrary to , deflation is not falling prices but a decrease in the quantity of money and/or volume of spending in the ... prices, farm and other commodity prices, and, above all, wage rates. To the extent that such efforts [more...]

Date: 2009-01-10 17:15:41

Unrest in Russia

Unrest in Russia Gordon G. Chang - 12.19.2008 - 2:12 PM Russians are taking to the streets as global energy prices decline and their country’s ... by high commodity prices to build a more sustainable economy.  So Russia rode the energy wave ... exchange reserves-the third largest in the world-to defend a rapidly depreciating currency [more...]

Date: 2008-12-19 19:12:49

Fed Officials Worry Inflation Rates Could Ease Too Much

Jon Hilsenrath reports from San Francisco. Federal Reserve officials at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association indicated they are ... , the year-to-year change in the consumer price index is likely to tip into negative territory ... commodity prices at the onset of the crisis have ebbed dramatically, and inflation is subsiding,” Janet [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 06:16:25

Rising sea levels ‘could spark conflict over energy and food reserves’

From Telegraph UK A report revealed “environmental stress” had increased the risk of conflicts over food and resources in the region ... to the escalating fight for the world’s natural resources, including an increasingly precious commodity – dry ... nations. High global oil and commodity prices, the biofuels boom and the economic downturn [more...]

Date: 2009-01-10 10:23:37

A look at Australian Dollar

What moves it?The Australian Dollar is a "Commodity Currency" like the Canadian Dollar ... in Commodity prices. But, lately, with Commodities falling again the Aussie has been impacted negatively [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 01:22:00

Herd Mentality

Image of stampede from this Yorkshire UK site In times of great uncertainty, ... and unrepresentative. We see it, too, in huge price swings for commodities (which benefit Big Oil and other price-fixing oligopolies), for stocks (which benefit commissioned brokers and agents -- the type [more...]

Date: 2008-09-16 02:37:04

Ernst & Young launches survey on how companies manage volatility in commodity Prices

/India PRwire/ - Professional services firm Ernst & Young today released its survey entitled, “Commodity price risk management survey 2008” ... . Relatively simpler instruments like forward and futures were used by more than 92% of the respondents [more...]

Date: 2008-12-16 11:56:06

Everyone in the supermarket is a suspect

Consumerist has been on the case of the shrinking food package for a while (see also, "The Grocery Shrink Ray," WaPo, Jul 18, 08) ... you slightly less food at the same price. It's a sneaky way to raise prices without appearing to do so. With the price commodities going up this year Simon Kucher & Partners consultant Frank Luby [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 19:17:15

Economist Says Biofuels Demand Will Drive Crop Prices

An agricultural economist speaking to members of the nation’s largest general farm organization meeting in San Antonio this weekend said crop prices ... for soybeans. He expects commodity prices for both corn and soybeans to be lower in 2009. [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 03:40:53

Paul Krugman Critiques Guillermo Calvo on Commodity Prices

The fact that somebody has bought an oil futures contract means that somebody else has sold one--hence no effect on demand without real storage ... , as far as I can tell, online. Why isn’t Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv on JSTOR?). Speculation can affect ... institutions that buy commodity futures as an investment — are responsible for the price surge. The [more...]

Date: 2008-06-22 15:35:07

Higher commodity prices drive up TSX

Higher commodity prices drive up TSX The S&P/TSX composite index kicked off another shortened trading week on Monday with a triple-digit ... [more...]

Date: 2008-12-30 03:15:52

60 Minutes: Did Speculation Fuel Oil Price Swings?

60 Minutes: Did Speculation Fuel Oil Price Swings? (CBS) ... , a commodity that was theoretically priced according to supply and demand doubled from $69 a barrel ... at a certain price at some date in the future. Read more... January 12, 2009 | Leave a Comment [more...]

Date: 2009-01-13 00:59:56

The latest word on those nefarious oil speculators

A new report from Michael Masters, scourge of the commodity index speculators, provides some startling numbers that, on their face, ... into the major commodity indices." The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil rose $33 per ... for the exits of the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index." They pulled out about $39 billion. The price [more...]

Date: 2008-09-10 20:02:23

Recession to hit Britain this year: European Commission

Recession will hit Britain with its economy expected to shrink in the second half of this year, the European Commission (EC) has warned ... under the impact of high commodity prices, turmoil in financial markets and slumping house prices ... growth in only two other years since Labour came to power in 1997. The Times quotes official figures [more...]

Date: 2008-09-11 08:09:37

Hints of Risk Appetite in the Stock Market

As 2008 came to a close, many of the headlines recapped how bad a year it was for the stock market ... degree of risk appetite among equity investors. That same appetite has been driving prices ... increasing signs of life in the commodity markets. Short-term Treasury prices, meanwhile, are hovering [more...]

Date: 2009-01-01 19:08:00

Commodities Continue to Tank

Now that deflation worries are upon us, even the mainstream media is taking note of the reversal of the commodities price surge of earlier this year ... of investment money from commodity futures into safer havens like government bonds.... “Commodities [more...]

Date: 2008-10-14 05:36:25

Recession and Environment: Why Bother?

Recession and Environment: Why Bother? December 24, 2008 at 8:51 am by Gialome · Filed under Just Delhi, environment [ ... grain prices in the local markets. The daily consumer commodities prices rose by 20 percentage points ... form $140 a barrel to less than $100 a barrel. Over next one year, hopefully, commodities, oil [more...]

Date: 2008-12-24 03:21:39

Afternoon Reading: BHP-Rio?A Smaller Deal, but More Necessary?

The current financial crisis–and subsequent tumble in stock prices–has made BHP Billiton’s pursuit of rival miner Rio Tinto less stunning ... . Now, with commodity prices in retreat and the share prices of both companies down significantly for the year [more...]

Date: 2008-10-29 10:52:00

THE ONION CONUNDRUM

Before the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission starts scrutinizing the role that speculators may have played in driving up fuel and food prices, investigators may want to take a look at price swings a commodity not in today's news: onions, says Fortune magazine.Onions are the only commodity for which futures trading is banned. Back [more...]

Date: 2008-07-09 13:14:56

Now that's really funny...

It it at times like this that you realize how difficult it would have been to just follow the simple investment advice of buying commodities in the ... in commodities, yet with news of a high profile commodity hedge fund shutting down and twitchy traders ... about the recent slide in commodity prices is that much of the big move down is being attributed [more...]

Date: 2008-09-03 15:18:00

Maruti Suzuki to Increase Contribution to Suzuki R&D on Small Engines

Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. (MSIL), Suzuki Motor’s (SMC) ... s 27th Annual General Meeting in New Delhi. The future belongs to small cars. Worldwide there seems to be no respite from increasing fuel prices. In addition, the commodity prices have also shot [more...]

Date: 2008-09-06 13:31:31

Seven key points on deflation

A few thoughts on the subject of deflation to help you make sense of what has unnecessarily become one of the hottest topics of discussion in recent ... in demand that results from slower economic growth and, in the period ahead, plunging commodity prices ... particularly significant, in and of themselves, as they are not the driver of present or future pr [more...]

Date: 2008-11-18 19:09:00

Roger Biduk; Commodities Hurting Bay Street at Midday

Roger Biduk writes: Toronto's main stock index was down more than 200 points, hitting its lowest level since Dec 31, on Monday as lower prices for key Canadian commodities such as oil and gold pulled the resource ... oil prices. The materials group buckled as prices for gold and other precious metals slid. Eight [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 18:08:00

Nine trends for 2009

Not mine, but as there have been many predictions across the various blogs, I thought that they might be quite interesting.(1) ... of the credit crisis, however the “fracturing” of commodity pricing is likely to continue with grains ... a 9 million sack shortage in coffee supplies for the coming year. While China’s commodity consumption [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 17:56:05

5 Legendary Investors Whom You Are Sure to be Interested In

We like to highlight the people that do exceptionally well in every industry. In sports, there are all-stars and in Hollywood, there are super stars ... in 1980 as he made bold calls such as predicting China’s huge growth, the rise in commodity price ... . Recommended Books By Jim Rogers: A Gift to My Children: A Father’s Lessons for Life and Investing [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 14:00:57

Commodity Boom Turns Bust in 2008 as Worldwide Economy Crumbles

Commodity prices in 2008 plunged the most in five decades as demand for energy, metals and grains tumbled in the second half because of the recession ... . Sugar, gold and hogs were the only other commodities to post gains. Gasoline futures declined ... on July 11. The 2008 low was 78.5 cents on Dec. 24. Crude oil futures tumbled a record 54 percent [more...]

Date: 2009-01-02 21:23:20

Commodity Boom Turns Bust in 2008 as Worldwide Economy Crumbles

Commodity prices in 2008 plunged the most in five decades as demand for energy, metals and grains tumbled in the second half because of the recession ... . Sugar, gold and hogs were the only other commodities to post gains. Gasoline futures declined ... on July 11. The 2008 low was 78.5 cents on Dec. 24. Crude oil futures tumbled a record 54 percent [more...]

Date: 2009-01-03 09:25:14

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