Deflation, COLA and Social Security

By Fester Mish at Global Economic Analysis is pulling some charts on basic food commodity prices. They are falling hard and fast: Judging from a broad basket of commodity prices, we are likely to see declining prices at the grocery stores in the weeks or months ahead. Lower commodity prices [more...]

Date: 2008-10-17 18:15:38

Blog posts (19) | Videos (2)
 

Will China's Growth Falter Post Olympics?

We've believed that China would have to hit a speed bump, or worse, at some point ... out of 70,000. Similarly, EconomPic argues (with charts) that: Are commodities being driven ... of commodities A spike in commodity prices hurts Chinese growth prospects Slower growth decreases [more...]

Date: 2008-07-02 16:10:10

Themes of Recession and Deflation Continue to Dominate Markets

As the charts from the excellent Barchart site indicate, ... a relatively strong U.S. dollar (middle chart) and weak commodity prices (bottom chart [more...]

Date: 2008-11-30 00:20:34

Markets and timeframes for price distribution charting

Have a trading related question? Submit it here. I received a set of questions following on my How to identify price targets for your trades post ... ? What about commodity markets like mini gold futures etc ? What about applying this method on US stock markets ... , like Nikkei or even Singapore’s small futures market, the SIMSCI futures. What I would [more...]

Date: 2008-12-08 14:00:44

This Stink Is Going To Be With Us For Years

Happy New Year? Not so fast. Those expecting change...you're gonna get A LOT MORE of the same. As in Bull Sh*t ... this morning, and Gold and Silver have been HAMMERED. Nothing shocking there. Check the seasonal charts ... "wealth" has been threatened with destruction by the collapse in commodity prices. Does Russia "create [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 13:00:00

The New Commodity Bull

Just when the central banks of the world are deluding themselves with the idea that inflation is under control, commodity prices are surging much higher once again.Soybeans (other grains have similar charts) - up 30% over the past monthCrude Oil - up 40% in 7 trading sessions. Crude has touched $50/barrel [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 11:14:00

Commodity Snapshot

Judging by the way that commodities prices have literally been “drawn and quartered” since July, ... intervention by way of shorting gold in the futures market. Either way, given the sheer amount ... at these charts: Dollar Premium Platinum vs. gold %-age Premium Platiinum vs. Gold Platinum, which [more...]

Date: 2008-10-26 15:04:13

Chart fun: Sugar in your coffee?

Commodities are particularly fascinating to me, as well as the relationships between them. In this chart I map out the relationship between the prices of coffee and sugar nearby futures ... futures prices* imagetitle (click to enlarge) * inflation is ignored A quick gut reaction [more...]

Date: 2008-12-26 15:07:00

Crude Oil poised to reverse

Crude Oil had a good rally last week. WTIC rallied off December low of USD35.13 to reach an intra-day high of USD50 ... commodities, Crude Oil's downtrend seems to be intact (see Chart 1 below).Chart 1: WTIC's daily chart ... on a reversal in Crude Oil prices. When this finally happens, Oil stocks would likely to receive a big boost. [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 01:45:00

Pound Collapse Shows Britain Not "Best Placed"

You can't buck the market someone once said, perhaps that is why every time Gordon and Alistair tell us that " ... from these charts the pound is down 25% against the dollar and the yen in the last three months ... a current account deficit and imports more than it exports. Key commodities are priced in dollars [more...]

Date: 2008-10-28 09:16:38

Find me a bull market?

While the S&P, Dow, Nasdaq and Russell run around the playground and ride the see-saw, ... at HeadlineCharts there are four 28-year charts; one shows the past 25-year rally in bond prices, another ... , while the last for the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) displays recent fear but also a level [more...]

Date: 2008-10-16 16:15:06

History Suggests Gordon Will Not Survive This Recession

The major 5 UK recessions of the 20th Century were 1920-21, 1929-33, 1973-75, 79-82 & 1989-1991 ... and rocketing commodity prices. This caused queues at petrol stations, rolling cutbacks in electricity ... . The first chart below shows the historical data for GDP output from 1970 to the 3rdQ 2008 [more...]

Date: 2008-12-17 01:12:20

Daily Report for Mon, Oct 27, 2008

The crisis in global equity, commodity and currency markets worsened overnight ... ) as an indicator. US equity futures have come off their earlier lows. ADDENDUM Links & Charts ... is sinking as are prices on the European bourses; the US equity markets may open with futures locked [more...]

Date: 2008-10-27 10:13:05

Atlanta Real Estate Recovery

Recession is Official: Let’s Chart the Recovery Post 1 of 3 in the Atlanta Real Estate Recovery series (energy, housing, credit) ... a higher demand for all commodities: Oil, Metals, etc. So as oil prices grew at staggering rates, speculation began to take place in the form of long positions on oil futures that pushed the price [more...]

Date: 2008-12-08 12:00:31

MortgageNewsClips: Restore TARP, Decline Accelerates, Soros, FN Jumps, Jim Rogers, Cool Chart, Not So Smart, Debt to GDP, What About Chase, POA Chart, Proposal, HPI Decline, Price of Gas, 3 more. Ira Has 3

Restore TARP to Its First Purpose - Peter Ackerman and John Vogelstein - … The market wants to understand ... —— bloomberg Rogers Says Dollar to Be `Devalued,’ Buys Commodities - By Ron Harui and Mike Schneider [more...]

Date: 2008-11-29 14:03:19

Crude Oil Dips Beneath $70

Who would have expected such a headline on Crude Oil just five or so months ago?! ... on Wednesday.  Let’s look at the weekly and daily charts to see how this happened and what might ... to give a boost to prices, or at least stave off some of the rampant selling in the commodity [more...]

Date: 2008-10-22 15:38:49

Oil recouples

Basic supply and demand economics maintain that as prices fall, demand increases, but to what extent? The effect on oil, for one, will be negligible, according to the commodities team at Merrill Lynch ... growth -- also becoming a negative number (see the charts below).... [more...]

Date: 2008-11-25 10:43:27

MortgageNewsClips: Bay Area, Dodging Inflation, Battle Plan, Gary Gensler is Back, Run Away Fast, Zubin’s Charts, Felix Salmon on Rates, Lumber, Desperate, On Refis, PMI Review, Different CRA Views

 Median price for Bay Area homes down 44 percent from year ago - Eve Mitchell  - San Jose Mercury ... to Commodities Post - By EDMUND L. ANDREWS - Nine years ago, Gary Gensler played a central role in fending off ... Investment Group  ———— zubin-chris_mayer   zubin    portfolio 6 interesting charts [more...]

Date: 2008-12-21 19:18:32

The USD and Backwardation.

(Chart from SharpCharts - Click on image to enlarge) The USD has had a great run, but now it looks very toppy to me ... . Backwardation in basic commodities happens frequently, but this is the first time since 1999, briefly ... of Gold is higher than the nearest futures contract. Some would define “backwardation” as the cash price [more...]

Date: 2008-12-09 04:09:13

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