US stocks rebound as leaders scramble to save $700 bn bailout

US stock futures rebounded as President George W. Bush Tuesday assured the nation, amid growing signs of a sliding economy, ... are exploring several options for new approaches, but it appears likely that the new legislation ... . Exports are softening. Agricultural and other commodity prices are slipping." Lawmakers "now need [more...]

Date: 2008-10-01 05:21:05

Blog posts (163) | Videos (19)
 

Idiots in the Intelligence Community

Idiots in the Intelligence Community Gordon G. Chang - 11.21.2008 - 1:42 PM America’s place in the sun is just about over ... to know what the future will look like is extrapolate. Nonetheless, Global Trends extrapolates. Worse ... increase in oil and commodity prices. That’s a brave assumption, when we have just seen oil fall [more...]

Date: 2008-11-21 18:42:22

What do onion prices tell us about oil prices?

A reader asked me a while back what I thought of this little article by my former Fortune colleague Jon Birger about onions: The bulbous root is the only commodity for which futures trading is banned. Back in 1958, onion growers convinced themselves that futures traders (and not the new farms sprouting up in Wisconsin [more...]

Date: 2008-07-08 11:45:33

Future of Electric-Car Batteries Raises Concerns

When electric vehicles hit the roads en masse, they will have the latest lithium-ion battery technology under their hoods ... could be severe. Commodity prices and availability are the concerns. Lithium has to be extracted ... , the more expensive a commodity becomes, and li-ion batteries that are already possibly going to be [more...]

Date: 2008-11-05 13:11:15

Global central banks hold 29,783 tones of Gold!

2009-01-02 Commodity Online As we analyze the possible reasons behind future directional move in gold prices in 2009, ... in 2008. The Rest… Commodity Online.com [more...]

Date: 2009-01-02 13:36:55

The Energy-Stock Chasm

In the wake of the shuttering of Ospraie Management’s largest fund Tuesday, ... positions on commodities futures and long ones on resource equities — a bet that didn’t work out, because those stocks continued to decline. “The options pricing implies that these stocks are not done [more...]

Date: 2008-09-03 19:01:57

Secondary Sources: Deflation, U.S. Strategy, Consumer, Bank Demands

A roundup of economic news from around the Web. Deflation: Writing for Forbes, Nouriel Roubini says the U.S ... . And commodity prices are sharply down–about 30% from their July peak–in the last three months ... s economic future. Yet Americans hear the same old divisive arguments. Republicans keep repeating [more...]

Date: 2008-10-31 13:56:23

The World Isn’t Flat

Spengler paints an unpretty picture of the current crisis extended under an Obama presidency ... economic superpowers of the future went flying, like children on skates holding onto the back of truck ... consumer, and Asian exports crash, taking commodity prices along with them. The financial crash [more...]

Date: 2008-10-28 16:23:46

Tapping into water conservation

Tapping into water conservation Posted by: Aqua Blog Maven on December 29, 2008 at 3:26 pm From Sustainable Industries: Water may be everywhere, ... in the not-so-distant-future. While some companies are already viewing water as the next oil—and are starting to prepare ... says Neal Dikeman, a partner at Jane Capital. “If energy is a commodity price [more...]

Date: 2008-12-29 23:26:19

Gold gains in broad-based commodities surge

Gold and other metals futures rallied Monday, getting a boost from soaring oil prices, weakness in the U.S. dollar and President-elect Barack Obama's pledge of a massive new infrastructure investment [more...]

Date: 2008-12-08 22:11:22

Commodity futures trading - Income means cash dividends.

Capital appreciation means an increase in the market price of a stock. Safety means maximum insurance against loss of the funds invested ... held. For expert in-depth information on all aspects of Make Money Trading Commodity, visit Commodity Trading Software [more...]

Date: 2009-01-13 02:00:07

CFTC Report on High Oil Prices - "Speculation My A$$"

With a pending Senate vote on the "Stop Excessive Energy Speculation Act", it seems that we (not the TOD 'we', but the collective society 'we') ... . In this report, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), threw cold water on the recent ... , activity on the crude oil futures market – as measured by the number of contracts outstanding, trading [more...]

Date: 2008-07-23 14:47:59

Collapse of Proposed Bailout Endangers Car Industry

We all know that the wind of recession had severely hit the global car market. Big U ... stocks, and commodity prices have started tumbling in response to the immediate effect ... in India. The Indian auto industry is gradually making efforts to revive its future. But, a bankruptcy [more...]

Date: 2008-12-18 12:46:09

The case for oil price speculation improves

U.C. San Diego economist Jim Hamilton has long argued that fundamental forces of supply and demand explain oil prices better than "speculation ... by David Cho, "A Few Speculators Dominate Vast Market for Oil Trading." Hamilton closed his dissection ... recently deemed by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission to be more of a speculator than [more...]

Date: 2008-08-27 16:28:48

Merrill’s Three ‘C’s for the Market

Could declining commodity prices be a major theme for the markets in the third quarter? Crude-oil futures are dropping like a stone this morning amid a strengthening dollar ... futures dropped as well, tumbling more than $12 to around $921 an ounce in recent Comex trading [more...]

Date: 2008-07-07 14:41:09

Did Airlines Help to Stop Oil Speculation?

The January 6 ATA SmartBrief (a free newsletter that is well worth subscribing to) ... in the prices of agricultural commodities as well? May also writes that “with nearly 90 organizations ... , speculative money started flowing rapidly out of the oil futures market.” This effect isn’t necessarily [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 07:13:47

Don't count on the holiday/new year rally in the stock market or Obama rescue package? So, what next?

Commodity prices are falling and so as the stocks markets of Russia and Brazil which are commodity producers, hence its time for commodity consuming stock markets of India/China to move up, so they are rising ... +ve views in long-term that BRIC economies especially India/China offer great future opportunities [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 19:39:47

Oil, Another 'Trouble in Middle East' Bounce

A bounce to $50 and even $55 isn't excessive. Prices are now above the declining 20 day EMA (blue line) and should gravitate to the 50 day EMA ( ... for a rally this year, if history is any guide.The so-called forward curve of futures contracts traded ... cut, raised the price of all the crude types it exports to the U.S.”Another way to play commodities [more...]

Date: 2009-01-05 13:30:00

BDS Media Meme Destroyed: Weak Dollar Doesn't Mean Higher Oil

As oil and gasoline prices rose throughout much of this decade, a popular media meme was that a lower dollar was largely to blame ... culminating in the commodity futures bubble that peaked in July. Yet, since early November, oil ... to that! In the end, there were a number of factors that created the energy/commodity futures [more...]

Date: 2008-12-20 17:05:30

The couch economist speaks….

Well I am not sure if you have done this yet, ... the reduction effecting the food and other commodity prices. So let’s hope that the manufacturers start ... into reducing your debt will have a profound effect on your future. On a bond of R 750 000.00 [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 05:11:31

Does Matt Simmons still expect $200 oil in two years?

The price for a barrel of oil has fallen from $145 in July to less than $40 ... . The last time commodity prices soared, in the late 1970s, Simon bet environmental scaremonger Paul ... to bet against energy or any other resource becoming scarcer and more expensive in the future,” Tierney [more...]

Date: 2008-12-19 16:38:49

Bullion metals turn pale

Strong dollar lays its fingerprint on precious metalsBullion metal prices ended lower on Monday, 05 January, 2009 due to the strong dollar. Generally, a stronger dollar pressures demand for dollar-denominated commodities, such as crude ... futures for March delivery fell 1.9% to $11.29 an ounce. Last week, silver has gained 9%. For 2008 [more...]

Date: 2009-01-06 03:15:00

Green Ink: Subprime Renewables

paper Crude oil futures jumped for the second straight day to more than $42 due to violence in the Middle East and Chinese stockpiling of oil, ... reqd.). Cratering energy and commodity prices push Kuwait to nix a $17 billion deal with Dow Chemical [more...]

Date: 2008-12-29 12:59:49

2008: The Year in a Picture

We are on the edge of disaster without being able to situate it in the future: it is rather always already past. Maurice Blanchot ... between June and September 2008, the period of the commodity price peak-and-collapse.  This episode [more...]

Date: 2008-12-22 04:33:06

Oil's Well That Ends Well

Well, no shit Sherlock speculation drove up the price of oil to obscene levels, as did the nonsense of "peak oil ... the commodities futures market. At the New York Mercantile Exchange, it's traded alongside cotton [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 02:34:00

DrumBeat: September 26, 2008

Oil: Contract killing “SPECULATORS are back and prices are up,” moaned James May, the head of the Air Transport Association, ... . The Democrats have vowed to pass a law crimping speculation. The Commodity Futures Trading [more...]

Date: 2008-09-26 13:15:07

White gold tarnished

At the start of last year sheep and beef farmers looked enviously at the returns dairy farmers were enjoying and aimed to get prices for meat, ... September last year. The state of global commodity markets isn’t the only problem facing Fonterra ... in any future investment in China.However, the financial losses from the Sanlu investment have already [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 17:59:59

Closing Comments September 02 2008

Prices of Treasury coupon securities have surged today as a variety of fundamental and technical factors have combined to drive prices higher ... . There was an unsubstantiated rumor of a SWF fund selling commodities and buying Treasury debt. In that regard, the futures contract performed better than cash today and that would lend some credence [more...]

Date: 2008-09-02 20:19:33

Gold slips 1 percent as dollar firms and oil slides

Gold slips 1 percent as dollar firms and oil slides filed in Business on Jan.02, 2009 ‘) ... late on Wednesday, the last trading session of 2008. U.S. gold futures for February delivery fell ... as a hedge against oil-led inflation and as rising crude prices often increase interest in commodities [more...]

Date: 2009-01-02 20:56:24

The Top 10 Biofuels Stories of the Year: #6, Commodity prices

Palm, corn, wheat, ethanol, oil, and soybeans went on their biggest Coney Island rollercoaster ride ever this year, with corn rising as high last summer as $7.85 in the futures markets before falling to $3.50 late ... , had just two biodiesel plants operating in the country. Corn, soybean futures rise sharply on weak [more...]

Date: 2008-12-31 12:59:02

Democratic Energy Bill Defeated; Republicans Show Some Stones

—Gabriel Malor Harry Reid's attempt to interfere in the commodities exchanges failed this morning along mostly partisan lines. Democrats are blaming high gasoline prices on "excessive" speculation in oil and gas futures. This is typical of Democrats, who would rather blame hedge funds (framed as "fat cats", but who serve [more...]

Date: 2008-07-25 18:45:08

Impending rally in the commodities market?

Impending rally in the commodities market? November 26th, ... that is rushing into the markets. Other commodities such as silver are now on the radar with a rapidly expanding money supply and a heavily deflated price per ounce. Read more… Futures [more...]

Date: 2008-11-26 23:20:42

END OF YEAR COMMENTARY

END OF YEAR COMMENTARY January 2, 2009 by david.pennington. by Michael M ... moving them up to record prices. I received a call this morning from a commodities broker who told me that the Comex is alerting various futures firms about the potential of a squeeze on the December [more...]

Date: 2009-01-02 06:33:43

Harry Dent, "housing prices have to go back to 1996-2000 levels. That is a 60% drop"

Andrew Mickey, Q1 Publishing, recently interviewed Harry Dent, author of "The Great Boom Ahead" and "The Roaring 2000's ... years, give or take, in the future." "we may see oil bounce back to $80 - $110 and retest its high ... the surprise is going to be a rebound in inflation pressures and a rebound in commodity prices." "I think [more...]

Date: 2009-01-11 12:44:00

Fear and Greed eclipse each other

Fear and Greed are the two driving forces of any market ... , commodity or tulip bulbs and drive prices to a level where they are no longer sustainable and become ... completely and makes people forget how scared they were just a few years ago. Past Greed and Future [more...]

Date: 2008-12-17 08:00:57

Bullion metals shine

Gold and silver prices rise for the first time in 2009After three sessions of fall, bullion metal prices ended higher on Tuesday, 06 January, ... -denominated commodities, such as crude oil and gold, which become more expensive for holders of other ... %.On Tuesday, Comex silver futures for March delivery rose 15.5 cents (1.6%) to $11.445 an ounce [more...]

Date: 2009-01-07 03:05:00

What's Up, What's Down: Crude Oil Prices Down, Hogs Sharply Down

Hogs prices continue to fall, reaching their lowest low since April. See how other futures and commodities might be affected this week. [more...]

Date: 2008-07-01 03:06:00

Daily Report for Mon, Oct 27, 2008

The crisis in global equity, commodity and currency markets worsened overnight ... ) as an indicator. US equity futures have come off their earlier lows. ADDENDUM Links & Charts ... is sinking as are prices on the European bourses; the US equity markets may open with futures locked [more...]

Date: 2008-10-27 10:13:05

Crude Oil Finds Longterm Support and Buy Signal at $40

We’ve witnessed absolute destruction in the price of crude oil and in other commodities in such a short period of time ... before making any trading or investing decisions. If you don’t trade futures, you might want to see [more...]

Date: 2008-12-09 15:42:00

The USD and Backwardation.

(Chart from SharpCharts - Click on image to enlarge) The USD has had a great run, but now it looks very toppy to me ... . Backwardation in basic commodities happens frequently, but this is the first time since 1999, briefly ... of Gold is higher than the nearest futures contract. Some would define “backwardation” as the cash price [more...]

Date: 2008-12-09 04:09:13

Speculators Fixing Oil Prices? Don't Bet On It!

I explain why Michael Masters misses the benefits of investors in commodities futures in this new IER piece. [more...]

Date: 2008-06-23 21:41:34

The Price of Gas will soon be $1.50, right?

This will teach them, right? H.R. 6377 directs CFTC to use all its authority, including its emergency powers, immediately to curb the role of excessive speculation in the energy and swaps futures markets ... that an artificially high demand for essential commodities such as oil and corn has been created [more...]

Date: 2008-06-27 20:30:06

Oil recovers with Dow rally

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The daily survey from motorist group price of oil on Monday reversed AAA. Prices peaked at $4 ... , have already started cutting back founder of commodities brokerage on oil use, said Cordier ... has already taken investors sold off crude futures place, and it's going to take a as stock indexes around [more...]

Date: 2009-01-03 17:17:35

Obama’s Plan To Address Energy Trading

This is one way to bring some sanity back to the price of oil, ... some energy traders from regulations that govern other exchange-traded commodities. Democrats call this “ ... years. Speculators also had purchased enough corn futures to fuel the entire U.S. ethanol production [more...]

Date: 2008-06-22 18:56:50

Weekly Futures Positions Review - November 30, 2008

Top posts from the past week: Are Any Grains Worth Buying At These Prices? ... are the most attractive investment opportunity I see today. They are actually trading below the prices they were at when the entire bull market in commodities began. Other existing positions I've got [more...]

Date: 2008-11-30 21:31:00

Commodities and currencies should continue mixed and sidelined

Overview Turmoil in the credit markets and the ECB adds to woes by suggesting it will raise its key rate by 25 basis points at July’s meeting. Euribor interest rate futures promptly dropped 25 points, with the December 2008 contract pricing three-month Libor at 5.525%, dragging Sterling, Swiss and US money market contracts down too [more...]

Date: 2008-06-12 06:52:54

The Depression: UK Edition

Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS), the UK's largest lender, is the latest victim in the global financial meltdown ... . No surprise the price of gold has soared. Today marked the largest one-day gain for that commodity ... rewarding malfeasance and encouraging more of the same in the future. By the same token, without [more...]

Date: 2008-09-18 02:26:58

'60 Minutes': Did speculation fuel oil price?

There was an excellent item last night on 60 Minutes about the role speculators played in the oil price spike this summer ... problem was a result of the commodities markets being "invaded by a new breed of investor." "Approximately 60 to 70 percent of the oil contracts in the futures markets are now held by speculative [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 06:26:00

Technical Update - Gap Fill

Last night we said that NR7 price/volume contraction implied price expansion, but direction was not clear ... between the trendline. However, after hours S&P futures are ripping lower, the trendline is broken ... as energy, gold, and commodities rallied on the open. USD is now in a support zone and near [more...]

Date: 2008-12-12 03:49:00

Technical Update - Gap Fill

Last night we said that NR7 price/volume contraction implied price expansion, but direction was not clear ... between the trendline. However, after hours S&P futures are ripping lower, the trendline ... fell sharply as energy, gold, and commodities rallied on the open. USD is now in a support zone [more...]

Date: 2008-12-12 04:22:10

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