Speculation and Commodity Prices

Ah, good - I've been meaning to do something like this myself, but never got around to it ... is that commodities that feature no futures markets have experienced as much volatility as those that have them ... is present in commodities markets: Commodity Prices, Again: Are Speculators to Blame, by Jeff Frankel [more...]

Date: 2008-07-25 18:07:00

Blog posts (744) | Videos (403)
 

Commodities Continue to Tank

Now that deflation worries are upon us, even the mainstream media is taking note of the reversal of the commodities price surge of earlier this year ... of investment money from commodity futures into safer havens like government bonds.... “Commodities [more...]

Date: 2008-10-14 05:36:25

Gold and Economic Freedom by Alan Greenspan

This article originally appeared in a newsletter: The Objectivist published in 1966 and was reprinted in Ayn Rand’s Capitalism: ... . It is that commodity which serves as a medium of exchange, is universally acceptable to all participants ... of such a commodity is a precondition of a division of labor economy. If men did not have some commodity [more...]

Date: 2008-11-14 20:15:53

Bespoke's Commodity Snapshot

Below we highlight our trading range charts of ten major commodities.  The green shading represents two standard deviations above and below the commodity's 50-day moving average.  As shown, oil continues its epic collapse along with most other commodities.  Natural [more...]

Date: 2008-12-04 21:01:01

Has Oil Broken Down?

Commodities These commodity market blowups are becoming all-too-familiar in the last few years ... in a commodity turned into a buying frenzy, fueled at first by speculators caught up in the mere expectation ... at Alaron Trading in Chicago. SemGroup said in its bankruptcy filing that it had bet that crude [more...]

Date: 2008-07-24 16:38:58

Oil Breaks Below $38; Bespoke's Commodity Snapshot

The amazing fall in oil continued this morning, with the commodity falling below $40, $39, and $38 ... . Oil1218   Below we highlight our trading range charts of ten major commodities.  The green ... , and moves above this shading are considered overbought or oversold.  Most commodities have staged rallies [more...]

Date: 2008-12-18 15:18:11

NYT's Krugman: Speculators schmeculators - demand is pushing oil higher, not traders

Filed under: International markets, Commodities, OilOne of the major economic debates on Main Street and in Washington concerns the influence of ... -- driven it higher than a level the commodity would trade at if the price were based solely on supply ... a commodity's price can rise a great deal, without the influence of speculators. His evidence: iron [more...]

Date: 2008-07-01 17:34:00

Lieberman Proposes Barring Institutional Investors From Commodities

Whether it comes to fruition is to be determined, but taken at face value, ... and index funds from investing in commodities is a Nixon-goes-to-China moment, a significant indicator ... that this will simply drive investing in commodities overseas. Perhaps, but funds regulated under [more...]

Date: 2008-06-12 05:14:27

Has the Commodity Bubble Popped?

Rob Curran of Dow Jones Newswires has this report on commodities and related stocks, and what may be in store ... % from its record high on July 11 to $127.50 a barrel. Some of the hot commodity stocks, such as coal miner ... a greater decline that traders in the space have become accustomed to, and the biggest percentage [more...]

Date: 2008-07-23 08:59:00

Commodity trading book - There are two ways the short seller can provide the stock.

The less likely is to buy back in the same day, so that the shares he acquires can be endorsed over to the person to whom, earlier, he sold ... of the brokerage house itself. For expert in-depth information on all aspects of Make Money Trading Commodity, visit Commodity Trading Software [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 23:00:08

Reliance Money picks up stake in commodity exchange

Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group (ADAG) has become the first large business group to enter the commodity space by acquiring a 10 percent stake in the ... national commodity derivatives exchanges, with a good presence in the black pepper, rubber and raw jute futures trading. Bandyopadhyay, who was inducted in the NMCE board this year, believes this [more...]

Date: 2008-10-01 05:05:34

Will China's Growth Falter Post Olympics?

We've believed that China would have to hit a speed bump, or worse, at some point ... out of 70,000. Similarly, EconomPic argues (with charts) that: Are commodities being driven ... of commodities A spike in commodity prices hurts Chinese growth prospects Slower growth decreases [more...]

Date: 2008-07-02 16:10:10

As global economy slows, visions of $80 oil grow

As global economy slows, visions of $80 oil grow Posted Aug 31st 2008 4:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro Filed under: Forecasts, Good news, Commodities, ... holdings in raw materials through the Standard & Poor's GSCI Index, a commodity gauge weighted ... , as institutional investors and traders sense that the great bull run in commodities is at least pausing [more...]

Date: 2008-08-31 21:05:31

Plethora of Commodities ETFs for Retail Investors (pfblogs.org)

Tim Iacono submits: Below is the updated table of commodity mutual funds, ETFs and ETNs from the back of the paper titled, Buy the Stocks Or, ... Conference in Las Vegas.A whopping 76 commodity offerings are now available to retail investors ... gold). Traders just love those things.Complete Story » ... [more...]

Date: 2008-09-10 12:36:26

Commodity futures trading - Income means cash dividends.

Capital appreciation means an increase in the market price of a stock. Safety means maximum insurance against loss of the funds invested ... held. For expert in-depth information on all aspects of Make Money Trading Commodity, visit Commodity Trading Software [more...]

Date: 2009-01-13 02:00:07

Nine trends for 2009

Not mine, but as there have been many predictions across the various blogs, I thought that they might be quite interesting.(1) ... of the credit crisis, however the “fracturing” of commodity pricing is likely to continue with grains ... a 9 million sack shortage in coffee supplies for the coming year. While China’s commodity consumption [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 17:56:05

Oil drops below $39 as commodities retreat

Oil drops below $39 as commodities retreatBy Chris FloodCopyright The Financial Times Limited 2009Published: January 12 2009 11:45 | Last updated: ... fell below the $39 a barrel level and base metals staged a broad retreat as commodity markets got ... package for its car industry in the near future with the scheme likely to include a reduction or [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 15:48:00

Oil, commodities continue retreat on global economic slowdown concerns

Oil, commodities continue retreat on global economic slowdown concerns Posted Aug 8th 2008 11:25AM by Joseph Lazzaro Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, Other issues, Good news, CommoditiesOil continued its month-long decline Friday, as investors and traders reduced their stakes in the world's most vital commodity [more...]

Date: 2008-08-08 15:35:22

Where are Commodity Prices Headed Next?

Want to predict commodity price movements? According to this research, the exchange rates for Australia, Canada, Chile, New Zealand, ... ), (ii) the Commodity Agricultural Raw Materials Index (including timber, cotton, wool, rubber [more...]

Date: 2008-09-09 07:24:00

CNBC On Speculators Gone Wild: ‘So What?’

Yesterday, the Center for American Progress Action Fund’s Dan Weiss stood up for working American families as CNBC host Trish Regan and two other ... Futures Trading Commission released a report recommending specific improvements to commodities markets ... months from January to May traders poured $60 billion into the commodities market and basically per [more...]

Date: 2008-09-11 23:30:34

In Which I Respond to Niccolo

Recently, Niccolo was talking about some issues he has with the Austrians, specifically regarding money ... of a commodity. The question needs to be reframed: Is your “money” redeemable? If it is not redeemable, then it’ ... on some form of a classical commodity standard. It is true that the 20th century saw growth several orders [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 15:45:50

Japan: Fundamentals Warrant Oil Only at $60 a Barrel

Forgive me if you've heard this one before, but a classic Wall Street joke illustrates an important concept ... material will do. The Mayans used feathers. Oil and commodities are increasingly being used as a store ... . But per the little story above, once participants quit seeing commodities as an inflation hedge [more...]

Date: 2008-06-10 20:29:28

European FX Surge vs. Commodity FX

European FX Surge vs. Commodity FX Posted by admin at January 9, 2009 European FX Surge vs. Commodity FX Sterling has already knived through our projected resistance of $1.5150, making yesterdays $1.5280 high a less challenging target, especially amid potentially negative US jobs data [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 04:03:03

Programming and Production

I went down a six hour sinkhole last night on a project I’ve been working on for the last week or so, ... not a commodity, but that’s a lesson for a different time. I mention it only because once you start thinking about programming as production it’s pretty easy to think of it as a commodity. Both views [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 19:04:48

Oil Squeeze? Blame Yourself

The Journal’s Russell Gold reports: When it comes to the price of crude oil and gasoline, who is in the driver’s seat? One common answer is no one ... into the commodity futures market. All of this plays a role: the availability of supply, financial market interest in commodities, and don’t forget the strength of the U.S. dollar (the global [more...]

Date: 2008-09-03 18:43:00

Listen to this article

In a VoxEU post, Guillermo Calvo argues forcefully that rising commodity prices are the result of excess liquidity rather ... futures have been banned. The thrust of this column is that we are not going through another self ... , that the demand for commodities for current consumption or production is completely inelastic (food [more...]

Date: 2008-06-20 08:07:32

A General Intro To Carbon Credits

Carbon credits can be sold for as much as any SUV-driving, gas-guzzling citizen with a desire to green their life is willing to pay ... commodities. Trading takes place on the Chicago Climate Exchange, which employs brokers known ... as a brokered commodity. Carbon credits create a market for reducing greenhouse gas emissions [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 15:00:30

OPEC and Friends Want Oil Prices to Behave Like a Hot Air Balloon, Not A Bubble

Here is a line of thinking that I have heard several times recently - oil prices have increased so rapidly recently that the market has become ... investment manias that exploded, is a commodity with visible, experienced hands on the controls ... commodity that responds to even tiny differences between daily supply and daily demand. During the decades [more...]

Date: 2008-06-15 00:55:33

Riding the Chesapeake Waves

Chesapeake As major commodities have been hammered in the quest to unwind losing positions, commodity-related companies have also taken a big hit ... to heavy volatility in the options market of late. Equity derivatives strategist Sveinn Palsson ... than an established S&P 500 component.” Trading in options has been heavy, with activity both in put [more...]

Date: 2008-10-23 16:07:01

Jimmy Swaggart Dormatories For America

Capitalism contains a fairly efficient and fluid value system: a person, item or service is worth whatever demand for that person, item or service is willing to pay.  Any particular commodity in our society is worth more than a comparable commodity if it possesses some quality that the prospective buyer finds useful.  However [more...]

Date: 2009-01-08 23:41:49

In The News Today

Monty Guild’s Commentary This is why China will dominate. They behave more intelligently than the politically driven west. China makes strategic use of commodity collapse Tue Jan 6, 2009 2:45am EST By Eadie Chen - Analysis BEIJING (Reuters) - China’s government is using the collapse in commodity prices to further [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 04:21:00

Commodities Reprieve Coming to an End

A guest post from Frank Shump. Frank is a veteran from the financial services industry, and currently authors a blog called Thefinancecastle ... in the near future, as some oil fields out there aren’t nearly as cost effective at these prices ... are out there on the future of other commodities. The World Bank, for example, believes that the global [more...]

Date: 2008-12-15 16:54:45

Bangaloreans reel under double whammy

Bangaloreans reel under double whammySenthalir S. BangaloreThe truckers' strike entered the fourth day on Thursday and the agitation by officers of ... , had serpentine queues of vehicles lined up before them.Supply of vegetables, fruits and commodities were ... of essential commodities. The Lorry Owners' Association is also working. So it will not affect [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 09:35:00

Bangaloreans reel under double whammy

Bangaloreans reel under double whammySenthalir S. BangaloreThe truckers' strike entered the fourth day on Thursday and the agitation by officers of ... , had serpentine queues of vehicles lined up before them.Supply of vegetables, fruits and commodities were ... of essential commodities. The Lorry Owners' Association is also working. So it will not affect [more...]

Date: 2009-01-09 09:35:00

Four at Four: Hello, Dolly

Nothing to see here or anything. (Accuweather.com) ... has once again resumed its near-term path, which is lower. And on a day when the Commodity Futures ... Newsom, DTN senior commodities analyst. The recent activity in oil does demonstrate, however [more...]

Date: 2008-07-22 11:54:00

One Upside To The Economic Crisis: Cheap Gas

As the US dollar crashes and the financial markets around the world start to implode, we may see an happy side effect: cheap gas ... prices to several other measures, and concluded that crude oil is the most overpriced commodity ... higher than any other commodity. Relative to per capita income, oil prices would have to fall [more...]

Date: 2008-10-13 19:55:40

Rising sea levels ‘could spark conflict over energy and food reserves’

From Telegraph UK A report revealed “environmental stress” had increased the risk of conflicts over food and resources in the region ... to the escalating fight for the world’s natural resources, including an increasingly precious commodity – dry ... nations. High global oil and commodity prices, the biofuels boom and the economic downturn [more...]

Date: 2009-01-10 10:23:37

Links 12/2/08

Swimming swans push up the cost of the 12 Days of Christmas Guardian. No deflation here ... with quantitative easing Marshall Auerbach, Credit Writedowns Commodity Pay Falls Faster Than Oil as Goldman, Funds Retrench Bloomberg. So much for the idea that commodity traders needed good bonuses to keep [more...]

Date: 2008-12-02 07:10:43

Supermarts becoming bustling for Tet sale

Hanoians now begin to flock into supermarts and traditional markets to do shopping for Tet which is coming in two weeks ... carts full of commodities, from drinks to fish sauce, glutinous rice, to chestnuts and confectionaries. Hang estimated that she would have to spend VND 2 million for the commodities.   Like many other [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 03:59:00

Strikes cripple normal life...

The nation was hit by a couple of potentially crippling strikes - one by transporters and another by oil sector officers ... commodities. The home minister said the Government would take firm action against oil company ... to the Government's woes, with supply of essential commodities hit partially. Some states invoked [more...]

Date: 2009-01-11 14:18:00

Paul Krugman Critiques Guillermo Calvo on Commodity Prices

The fact that somebody has bought an oil futures contract means that somebody else has sold one--hence no effect on demand without real storage ... , as far as I can tell, online. Why isn’t Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv on JSTOR?). Speculation can affect ... institutions that buy commodity futures as an investment — are responsible for the price surge. The [more...]

Date: 2008-06-22 15:35:07

USDA Issues Final Rule on Mandatory Country of Origin Labelling

WASHINGTON, Jan. 12, 2009 — (USDA) The United States Department of Agriculture today announced details of the final regulation for the mandatory ... agricultural commodities (specifically fresh and frozen fruits and vegetables); macadamia nuts; pecans; ginseng and peanuts. Commodities covered under COOL must be labeled at retail to indicate [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 16:33:08

Mining Exploration Result, Demand and Trade Review : Metal Demand May Be Slow Hope Runs High for Gold

By now the global financial crisis has hopefully taught investors that just like property prices, metal prices do not always go up ... , often a year or so apart. Last year bulk commodities such as iron ore, coal and manganese proved ... agreed, advising investors to go long on gold and short on bulk commodities and base metals. Boom times [more...]

Date: 2009-01-11 16:52:18

Commodities: Bear Market or Bounce?

By Martin Hutchinson Contributing Editor With oil off more than 20% from its July peak, and the Reuters-CRB Continuous Commodity Index down 19% from its June high, traders are betting that... Money Morning is here to help investors profit handsomely on this seismic shift [more...]

Date: 2008-08-27 02:42:30

What Can Onions Teach Us About Oil Prices?

Onions have no futures market, yet their recent price volatility makes the swings in oil and corn look tame ... in a commodity not in today's news: onions. The bulbous root is the only commodity for which futures trading is banned. Back in 1958, onion growers convinced themselves that futures traders were [more...]

Date: 2008-06-29 15:52:02

Green Ink: Oil?s Floor and Asian Demand

paper Crude oil futures surged past $84 early Tuesday on the back of optimism the world will avoid the worst of the financial crunch, ... reqd.). Despite the recent recovery, oil and other commodities are still well-off summertime highs ... not be unlimited, in the WSJ (sub reqd.). Just don’t tell small businesses the commodities boom is over— [more...]

Date: 2008-10-14 12:10:35

The Worm Turns, and Fertilizer Stocks Suffer

Rob Curran has this report on the recent stumbles of the market’s favored high-fliers. Remember the rally in commodity and agricultural stocks that would never end because the world ... traders took cover from the second-quarter sell-off, have flipped into the loser column in the first [more...]

Date: 2008-07-08 16:18:07

A look at Australian Dollar

What moves it?The Australian Dollar is a "Commodity Currency" like the Canadian Dollar ... in Commodity prices. But, lately, with Commodities falling again the Aussie has been impacted negatively [more...]

Date: 2009-01-12 01:22:00

Oil Prices and Speculation

The Washington Post says the scale of speculative activity in commodities markets is larger than previous estimates indicated: A Few Speculators Dominate Vast Market for Oil Trading, by David Cho, Washington Post ... helped industrial firms that needed oil to run their businesses. But when the Commodity Futures [more...]

Date: 2008-08-21 07:42:00

Baltic Dry Index Falls Another 10.7%, Down Nearly 86% From May

The collapse in the Baltic Dry Index continues. As we have noted before, the inability of cargo shippers to secure letters of credit ( ... in the plunge in trade transport. From the Financial Times: The cost of shipping bulk commodities ... a day in early June. The slowdown in Chinese commodities demand was confirmed yesterday by Tom [more...]

Date: 2008-10-16 12:55:00

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